Frequently asked questions
The short answers. For the full method, read how the model works.
The basics
What is FootyMind?
A free football prediction site powered by a statistical model. Every priced match gets win probabilities, one Mind pick and a Mind Score, and every pick is settled in public.
Is it really free?
Yes – no paywall, no VIP tier, no sign-up. We never sell tips or “fixed matches”.
Which leagues are covered?
Every fixture a bookmaker prices – usually 50+ competitions a day, from the Premier League and Champions League to the NPFL and lower divisions.
The numbers
What is the Mind Score?
The model's probability for a pick, out of 100. MS 72 means roughly 72 landings in 100 similar games – and 28 misses.
What is the Mind Pick?
The single pick of the day the model trusts most at a fair price. It is our banker of the day.
What does the coloured bar on each match mean?
Home, draw and away probabilities from left to right. The solid segment is the model's favourite result.
How accurate is the model?
Over the last 30 days, 64.4% of Mind picks landed (5,553 of 8,623). The track record also checks calibration by Mind Score band.
Picks and settling
When are picks published?
Predictions refresh through the day as prices move. The banker and free slips are ready mid-morning WAT, and pre-match analysis goes up from 6am WAT.
How are picks settled?
On the 90-minute score plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count; postponed or abandoned games are void.
Do you remove losing picks?
Never. Picks lock at kick-off and misses stay on the record next to the wins.
Do you model corners and cards?
Not directly – our data has no corner or card counts. Those pages list games whose profile suits the market and show our goals or result call for each.
Staying in control
How much should I stake?
A small, level amount – around 1–2% of a betting bank – and never more to win back a loss.
Where can I get help?
See responsible gaming for tools and free, confidential support.