Sunday 15 November: the model qualifies 218 games for over/under 2.5, at an average Mind Score of 61. Top of the list: Diósgyőr II vs Nyiregyhaza II – Over 2.5 goals (MS 78). Settled so far today: 4 landed · 1 missed.
The main goals line: whichever side of 2.5 the expected-goals model leans to. Ranked by Mind Score – open any game for the full analysis.
NB III Northeast
Top Mind Score 
Diósgyőr IIvs
Nyiregyhaza IIThe goal projection sits at 4.4, clear of the 2.5 line. Probability 78%. Price check: 1.25 is close to fair.
Full analysisNB III Southeast
#2 
BKV Előrevs
Újpest IIBKV Előre (1.4) plus Újpest II (2.8) puts 4.2 goals on the board. The line lands in 77% of the model's runs. At 1.25 the market and the model roughly agree.
Full analysis
Derde Divisie Saturday
#3 
Hollandiavs
HoogeveenThe goal projection sits at 4.3, clear of the 2.5 line. Mind Score 76. The 1.24 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Full analysis
3. Liga CFL A
#4 
Bohemians 1905 IIvs
Králův DvůrAn open game on paper: 4.4 projected goals. The line lands in 76% of the model's runs. At 1.27 the market and the model roughly agree.
Full analysis
NigeriaNPFLHomeDrawAwayMind pick
KenyaFKF Premier LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
FranceCoupe De FranceHomeDrawAwayMind pick
USAUSL League OneHomeDrawAwayMind pick
GuatemalaLiga NacionalHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Costa-RicaLiga De AscensoHomeDrawAwayMind pick
El-SalvadorPrimera DivisionHomeDrawAwayMind pick
MexicoLiga De Expansión MXHomeDrawAwayMind pickMexicoLiga MX FemenilHomeDrawAwayMind pick
AustraliaAustralian ChampionshipHomeDrawAwayMind pickAustraliaA League WomenHomeDrawAwayMind pick
JapanJ3 LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Hong-KongLeague CupHomeDrawAwayMind pickJapanJ League CupHomeDrawAwayMind pick
South-AfricaDiski ChallengeHomeDrawAwayMind pickCzech-Republic3. Liga CFL AHomeDrawAwayMind pickCzech-Republic3. Liga CFL BHomeDrawAwayMind pick
BrazilSerie AHomeDrawAwayMind pickMexicoLiga MX FemenilHomeDrawAwayMind pick
ArgentinaPrimera NacionalHomeDrawAwayMind pick
New-ZealandNational League NationalHomeDrawAwayMind pick218 qualifying games on Sunday 15 November, average Mind Score 61. Highest still to play: Diósgyőr II vs Nyiregyhaza II (NB III Northeast) – Over 2.5 goals, MS 78. Leagues with the most entries: Europe UEFA Nations League (7), Italy Serie D Girone C (6), Sweden Damallsvenskan (5). 34 carry a price longer than the model's fair odds.
Over/Under 2.5 goals is the main goals line: three or more goals for over, two or fewer for under.
Over: 2–1, 3–0 and 2–2 win; 1–1 and 2–0 lose. Under: 0–0, 1–0, 1–1 and 2–0 win.
The model compares its total goal projection with the line. Around 2.9 or more points over; 2.2 or less points under. Between those numbers it stays quiet.
The model rates each team's attack and defence from roughly a season of results, weighted towards recent games. Those ratings give a goal projection for both sides, and the projection becomes a grid of every possible score. Every market – this one included – is read from that grid, so a match's picks never contradict each other. Bookmaker prices are shown alongside; when the Mind Score beats what the price implies, the pick carries value. Full detail on how the model works.
Prefer a ready-made ticket? Try the free slips, the accumulator or compare every market.
Three or more goals in total.
It shifts each season – the statistics page tracks it.
Every team carries attack and defence ratings. The model projects each side's goals, builds a grid of every possible score and reads the over/under 2.5 probability straight from it. Highest Mind Scores come first.
The model's probability for the pick, out of 100. MS 70 means roughly seven landings in ten similar games – and three misses.
Never. Every pick settles on the 90-minute score and stays on the Yesterday tab and the track record.
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Pumas UNAM W5
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