League statistics
The baseline the model starts from: goals per game, over/under and BTTS rates, and the result split for every league this season. Open one for club-by-club numbers and the projections for its next fixtures.
| # | League | Games | Goals/g | O2.5 | BTTS | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eredivisie Netherlands | 108 | 3.89 | 72% | 70% | 28% |
| 2 | Bundesliga Germany | 81 | 3.48 | 70% | 60% | 21% |
| 3 | Champions League Europe | 162 | 3.34 | 62% | 57% | 19% |
| 4 | MLS USA | 462 | 3.27 | 65% | 64% | 26% |
| 5 | Serie A Italy | 110 | 3.11 | 60% | 58% | 17% |
| 6 | Saudi Pro League Saudi Arabia | 104 | 3.03 | 57% | 54% | 26% |
| 7 | Süper Lig Turkey | 99 | 3.01 | 60% | 45% | 16% |
| 8 | Ligue 1 France | 90 | 2.96 | 57% | 59% | 22% |
| 9 | Championship England | 180 | 2.96 | 62% | 62% | 26% |
| 10 | La Liga Spain | 119 | 2.89 | 55% | 55% | 26% |
| 11 | Scottish Premiership Scotland | 75 | 2.85 | 57% | 56% | 23% |
| 12 | Europa League Europe | 151 | 2.84 | 58% | 48% | 20% |
| 13 | Conference League Europe | 312 | 2.82 | 52% | 53% | 27% |
| 14 | Premier League England | 100 | 2.73 | 47% | 49% | 27% |
| 15 | Primeira Liga Portugal | 98 | 2.63 | 53% | 47% | 20% |
| 16 | NPFL Nigeria | 114 | 2.39 | 42% | 51% | 32% |
| 17 | Premiership South Africa | 73 | 2.33 | 37% | 47% | 34% |
| 18 | Egyptian Premier League Egypt | 80 | 2.31 | 39% | 49% | 25% |
| 19 | Kenya Premier League Kenya | 52 | 2.06 | 38% | 50% | 42% |
Season to date, 90-minute scores. Click a column header to sort.
Why the baseline matters
A goals pick should start from how the league plays. Where 60% of games clear 2.5, the over is the natural default; where only 40% do, the under and NG lead. Home-win and draw rates do the same job for result markets – home advantage varies widely between leagues.
The model layers each club's attack and defence ratings on top of that baseline for every fixture on the predictions page. How those picks performed is on the track record.
Frequently asked questions
Which league produces the most goals?
Right now the Eredivisie leads the goals table: 3.89 per game, 72% of games over 2.5.
Which league is the lowest scoring?
The Kenya Premier League – 2.06 goals per game and 38% over 2.5 this season.
How often is this updated?
Every six hours, from 90-minute final scores – the same basis used to settle the markets.