Georgiavs
Hungary
Mind pickUnder 3.5
Odds1.17
Mind Score86/100
Only 1.7 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 86% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.17 is close to fair.
Full analysisGoals · Saturday 14 November 2026
Over/under 3.5 goals predictions
Saturday 14 November: the model qualifies 416 games for over/under 3.5, at an average Mind Score of 66. Top of the list: Georgia vs Hungary – Under 3.5 goals (MS 86). Settled so far today: 3 landed · 1 missed.
Tips by Ade Ola · FootyMind analystModel refreshed 14 Nov 2026, 02:53 WAT · Settled publicly on the track record
Four goals or more, or three at most – the wider goals line. Ranked by Mind Score – open any game for the full analysis.
Highest Mind Scores: over/under 3.5 today
FKF Premier League
#2 
Ulinzi Starsvs
Migori Youth
Mind pickUnder 3.5
Odds–
Mind Score86/100
2.0 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Mind Score 86. Mind Score 86.
Full analysis
Botola 2
#3 
KAC Kenitravs
Ittihad Khemisset
Mind pickUnder 3.5
Odds–
Mind Score85/100
2.0 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. The line lands in 85% of the model's runs. Mind Score 85.
Full analysis
Copa Fares Lopes
#4 
Fortaleza Bvs
Palmacia
Mind pickUnder 3.5
Odds–
Mind Score83/100
2.1 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. The line lands in 83% of the model's runs. Mind Score 83.
Full analysisNext in line
Doma United
Barau FC
La Solana
Socuéllamos
Rayo Majadahonda
Águilas
Al Najoom
Jubbah
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Trostianets
Buñol
AceroThe full over/under 3.5 list
BrazilSerie AHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
FranceCoupe De FranceHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Versailles
Rodez
Croix Football IC
ThaonEuropeUEFA Nations LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Kosovo
Israel
Austria
Rep. Of Ireland
Sweden
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Romania
PolandAfricaAfrica Cup Of Nations QualificationHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Algeria
Togo
Angola
South Sudan
USAUSL Super LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Lexington W2
Fort Lauderdale United W0
PanamaLiga Panameña De FútbolHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Sporting San Miguelito0
CD Arabe Unido0
UMECIT1
Plaza Amador0
Union Cocle
Independiente de La Chorrera
San Francisco FC
VeraguasHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Reboceros La Piedad
Racing de Veracruz
Tritons Vallarta
TapachulaNorth & Central AmericaCONCACAF Nations LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Guatemala
Canada
AustraliaAustralian ChampionshipHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Sydney United
South Melbourne
JapanJ2 LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Albirex Niigata
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Fujieda MYFC
Ventforet Kofu
Shonan Bellmare
Yokohama FC
Oita Trinita
Tochigi CityJapanJ3 LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
FC Gifu
Matsumoto Yamaga
UkrainePersha LigaHomeDrawAwayMind pick
SK Poltava
Ahrobiznes VolochyskEuropeUEFA U19 Championship QualificationHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Czechia U19
Croatia U19
Bulgaria U19
Latvia U19
PolandII Liga EastHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Podhale Nowy Targ
Avia ŚwidnikWorldFriendliesHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Vietnam U23
Qatar U23
Bahrain
Yemen
Basque Country
Venezuela
Peru1
Bolivia0
Colombia1
Chile0
Palestine
Iran
China
Malaysia
Ecuador1
Costa Rica0
RussiaSupreme Division WomenHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Krasnodar W
Zvezda Perm W
Spartak Moskva W
CSKA Moskva W
Rubin Kazan W
Krylya Sovetov W
MontenegroSecond LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Zeta
Lovćen
Bosnia1st League RSHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Sutjeska Foča
Slavija
Zvijezda 09
PotkozarjeSettled today
WorldFriendliesHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Argentina1
Uruguay2North & Central AmericaCONCACAF Nations LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Montserrat1
Nicaragua2
EnglandLeague OneHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Bromley
Notts County
Doncaster
Leyton Orient
Leicester
Bradford
Luton
Cambridge United
Peterborough
Oxford United
Stevenage
Mansfield Town
Wycombe
HuddersfieldEnglandLeague TwoHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Rotherham
Crawley Town
Walsall
BarnetBrazilSerie BHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Ponte Preta0
Operario-PR2
São Bernardo2
Athletic Club2The over/under 3.5 numbers, today
416 qualifying games on Saturday 14 November, average Mind Score 66. Highest still to play: Georgia vs Hungary (UEFA Nations League) – Under 3.5 goals, MS 86. Leagues with the most entries: England FA Trophy (29), Europe UEFA U19 Championship Qualification (20), Turkey 2. Lig (12). 11 carry a price longer than the model's fair odds.
Over/under 3.5 explained
Over/Under 3.5 goals sets the bar at four goals – fewer winners on the over, more on the under.
Over: 3–1, 2–2, 4–0. Under: anything up to three goals, such as 2–1 or 3–0.
When the model likes it
Over 3.5 appears only for games with very high projections and two open defences; under 3.5 is common for controlled, lower-tempo fixtures.
Rules of thumb
- Over 3.5 swings wildly – small stakes only.
- Under 3.5 is a steady accumulator leg in tight leagues.
- The likeliest scores on each match page show the spread.
Where these numbers come from
The model rates each team's attack and defence from roughly a season of results, weighted towards recent games. Those ratings give a goal projection for both sides, and the projection becomes a grid of every possible score. Every market – this one included – is read from that grid, so a match's picks never contradict each other. Bookmaker prices are shown alongside; when the Mind Score beats what the price implies, the pick carries value. Full detail on how the model works.
Prefer a ready-made ticket? Try the free slips, the accumulator or compare every market.
Frequently asked questions
How common are four-goal games?
Roughly one in four or five, depending on the league.
Is under 3.5 a good acca leg?
Often, in low-scoring leagues – but check the price.
How are these over/under 3.5 picks chosen?
Every team carries attack and defence ratings. The model projects each side's goals, builds a grid of every possible score and reads the over/under 3.5 probability straight from it. Highest Mind Scores come first.
What is the Mind Score?
The model's probability for the pick, out of 100. MS 70 means roughly seven landings in ten similar games – and three misses.
Are losing picks removed?
Never. Every pick settles on the 90-minute score and stays on the Yesterday tab and the track record.