Georgiavs
Hungary
With 1.7 goals projected, a first-half goal is more likely than not. Mind Score 83.
Full analysisSaturday 14 November: the model qualifies 510 games for HT over/under goals, at an average Mind Score of 72. Top of the list: Georgia vs Hungary – Under 1.5 first-half goals (MS 83). Settled so far today: 2 landed · 4 missed.
Goal lines for the first 45 minutes only. Ranked by Mind Score – open any game for the full analysis.
With 1.7 goals projected, a first-half goal is more likely than not. Mind Score 83.
Full analysisWith 1.8 goals projected, a first-half goal is more likely than not. Mind Score 81.
Full analysisThe first-half grid leans to a goal before the break (3.8 projected overall). Mind Score 81.
Full analysisThe first-half grid leans to a goal before the break (3.8 projected overall). Eintracht Norderstedt's form is mixed (DLL, 0 W 1 D 2 L). Mind Score 81.
Full analysis510 qualifying games on Saturday 14 November, average Mind Score 72. Highest still to play: Georgia vs Hungary (UEFA Nations League) – Under 1.5 first-half goals, MS 83. Leagues with the most entries: England FA Trophy (37), Europe UEFA U19 Championship Qualification (22), Turkey 2. Lig (13).
Half-time over/under goals applies a goal line to the first 45 minutes – typically over 0.5 (a goal before the break) or over/under 1.5.
First-half over 0.5 wins with any goal before half-time. Under 1.5 wins with one goal or none in the first half.
High overall projections make a first-half goal more likely; cagey fixtures point to the under.
The model rates each team's attack and defence from roughly a season of results, weighted towards recent games. Those ratings give a goal projection for both sides, and the projection becomes a grid of every possible score. Every market – this one included – is read from that grid, so a match's picks never contradict each other. Bookmaker prices are shown alongside; when the Mind Score beats what the price implies, the pick carries value. Full detail on how the model works.
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At least one goal before the half-time whistle.
Yes, first-half stoppage time counts.
Every team carries attack and defence ratings. The model projects each side's goals, builds a grid of every possible score and reads the HT over/under goals probability straight from it. Highest Mind Scores come first.
The model's probability for the pick, out of 100. MS 70 means roughly seven landings in ten similar games – and three misses.
Never. Every pick settles on the 90-minute score and stays on the Yesterday tab and the track record.