Georgiavs
Hungary
Read straight from the score grid: the handicap line lands 86% of the time. Mind Score 86.
Full analysisSaturday 14 November: the model qualifies 510 games for asian handicap, at an average Mind Score of 70. Top of the list: Georgia vs Hungary – Georgia +1.5 (Asian handicap) (MS 86). Settled so far today: 5 landed · 1 missed.
Favourite to win by two (-1.5) or outsider to lose by one at most (+1.5), read from the full score grid. Ranked by Mind Score – open any game for the full analysis.
Read straight from the score grid: the handicap line lands 86% of the time. Mind Score 86.
Full analysisRead straight from the score grid: the handicap line lands 88% of the time. The form line for Sestao River reads WWDW – no defeats; Recreativo Huelva's form is mixed (DWDW, 2 W 2 D 0 L). Mind Score 88.
Full analysisRead straight from the score grid: the handicap line lands 87% of the time. Sport Huancayo's last 4 reads WWLW – 3 wins; Universitario's form is mixed (DDWW, 2 W 2 D 0 L). Mind Score 87.
Full analysisThe winning-margin distribution supports this line at 87%. 3 without a win for Hranice (LLL). Mind Score 87.
Full analysis510 qualifying games on Saturday 14 November, average Mind Score 70. Highest still to play: Georgia vs Hungary (UEFA Nations League) – Georgia +1.5 (Asian handicap), MS 86. Leagues with the most entries: England FA Trophy (37), Europe UEFA U19 Championship Qualification (22), Turkey 2. Lig (13).
Asian handicap gives one side a goal start or deficit before kick-off. FootyMind publishes two lines: the favourite at -1.5 (must win by two or more) and the outsider at +1.5 (must not lose by two or more).
Bayern -1.5 needs a Bayern win by two goals or more – 2–0 pays, 2–1 loses. Mainz +1.5 pays on a Mainz win, a draw or a one-goal defeat.
Both lines are read straight from the model's score grid, which assigns a probability to every scoreline. When the grid says a team wins by two or more often enough, -1.5 is listed; when the margin looks tight, +1.5 on the outsider is.
The model rates each team's attack and defence from roughly a season of results, weighted towards recent games. Those ratings give a goal projection for both sides, and the projection becomes a grid of every possible score. Every market – this one included – is read from that grid, so a match's picks never contradict each other. Bookmaker prices are shown alongside; when the Mind Score beats what the price implies, the pick carries value. Full detail on how the model works.
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The team must win by at least two goals.
Whole-number lines (0, -1) can be; the half-goal lines we publish always settle as won or lost.
Every team carries attack and defence ratings. The model projects each side's goals, builds a grid of every possible score and reads the asian handicap probability straight from it. Highest Mind Scores come first.
The model's probability for the pick, out of 100. MS 70 means roughly seven landings in ten similar games – and three misses.
Never. Every pick settles on the 90-minute score and stays on the Yesterday tab and the track record.