Napoli vs Torino prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.5 goals in total. Probability 75%. Napoli's form is mixed (DLLW, 1 W 1 D 2 L); Torino's form is mixed (DLL, 0 W 1 D 2 L). The 1.25 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Napoli are clear favourites at 62% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Napoli 10th (15 pts), Torino 11th (14 pts).
Recent form
The last three for Torino read W L L (one win). Most recent: v Lazio, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.7 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Napoli 1.8, Torino 0.8 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 46%, BTTS 51%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.33. Likeliest score: Napoli 1–0 Torino. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Napoli
last 2- L@ Atalanta1–222 Feb
- Dv AS Roma2–215 Feb
Torino
last 3- Wv Lazio2–01 Mar
- L@ Genoa0–322 Feb
- Lv Bologna1–215 Feb
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie A table
League page →
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Napoli vs Torino?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Napoli or Torino?
The model gives Napoli 62%, the draw 21% and Torino 18%.
What is the likeliest score in Napoli vs Torino?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Napoli 1–0 Torino.
How many goals are expected in Napoli vs Torino?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 46% and both teams to score 51%.
When does Napoli vs Torino kick off?
Friday 6 March 2026, 20:45 WAT, at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona – Serie A.