Feyenoord vs Excelsior prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Feyenoord (2.3) plus Excelsior (0.9) puts 3.2 goals on the board. Probability 83%. Feyenoord were beaten last time (LLDD); Excelsior were beaten last time (LLWL). Mind Score 83.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Feyenoord strong home favourites (66%). Table: Feyenoord 2nd (25 pts), Excelsior 15th (11 pts).
Recent form
Feyenoord – sample of four: D L W W, with two wins. Most recent: at NAC Breda, 3–3 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.5 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Feyenoord 2.3, Excelsior 0.9 – 3.2 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 62%, both to score at 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 83. Likeliest score: Feyenoord 2–0 Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Feyenoord
last 4- D@ NAC Breda3–38 Mar
- L@ Twente0–21 Mar
- Wv Telstar2–122 Feb
- Wv GO Ahead Eagles1–015 Feb
Excelsior
last 1- L@ Fortuna Sittard1–220 Feb
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Eredivisie table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 |  Twente | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | -29 | 3 |
More Eredivisie predictions
League page →
Heracles0
NAC Breda0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 83.
Who is favourite, Feyenoord or Excelsior?
The model gives Feyenoord 66%, the draw 21% and Excelsior 13%.
What is the likeliest score in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Feyenoord 2–0 Excelsior.
How many goals are expected in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Around 3.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 62% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Feyenoord vs Excelsior kick off?
Sunday 15 March 2026, 14:30 WAT, at De Kuip – Eredivisie.