421 matches analysed today 69 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 13:35 WATTelegram18+
Ligue 1 Wed 13 May 2026 · Stade Francis-Le Blé Full time
1–2
Half-time 1–2
40%Stade Brestois 2920%Draw39%Strasbourg

Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

Stade Brestois 29 (1.5) plus Strasbourg (1.4) puts 2.9 goals on the board. Mind Score 78. Strasbourg arrive off a defeat (LWL). The 1.22 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

78Mind Score Odds1.22 Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Stade Brestois 292.6240% X · Draw3.6020% 2 · Strasbourg2.4539%

Double chance

1X1.5361% 121.2280% X21.4860%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2278% Under 1.54.2022%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7055% Under 2.52.1045%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.8033% Under 3.51.4267%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.5761% NG · No2.2539%

Half-time result

HT 13.1030% HT X2.2540% HT 22.9529%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The ratings barely separate them: Stade Brestois 29 40%, draw 20%, Strasbourg 39%. Table: Stade Brestois 29 9th (15 pts), Strasbourg 13th (10 pts).

Recent form

Stade Brestois 29 – sample of four: D W W W, with three wins. Most recent: v Lens, 3–3 (drawn). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Strasbourg – sample of six: L L W L W L, with two wins. Most recent: v Rayo Vallecano, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.3 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Stade Brestois 29 1.5, Strasbourg 1.4 – 2.9 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 55%, BTTS 61%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 78, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.28. Likeliest score: Stade Brestois 29 2–1 Strasbourg. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Stade Brestois 29

last 4
  • Dv Lens3–324 Apr
  • Wv Le Havre2–08 Mar
  • W@ Metz1–01 Mar
  • Wv Marseille2–020 Feb
2.0scored / game0.8conceded25%GG25%over 2.5

Strasbourg

last 6
  • Lv Rayo Vallecano0–17 May
  • L@ Rayo Vallecano0–130 Apr
  • W@ Lorient3–226 Apr
  • Lv Nice0–222 Apr
  • Wv FSV Mainz 054–016 Apr
  • L@ FSV Mainz 050–29 Apr
1.2scored / game1.3conceded17%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Ligue 1 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 78, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Stade Brestois 29 or Strasbourg?

The model gives Stade Brestois 29 40%, the draw 20% and Strasbourg 39%.

What is the likeliest score in Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Stade Brestois 29 2–1 Strasbourg.

How many goals are expected in Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg?

Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 61%.

When does Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg kick off?

Wednesday 13 May 2026, 18:00 WAT, at Stade Francis-Le Blé – Ligue 1.