Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 3.0 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 64% of the model's runs. Houston Dynamo arrive off a defeat (LLWD); St. Louis City won most recently (WLLL). The 1.50 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Houston Dynamo 42%, draw 22%, St. Louis City 37%. Table: Houston Dynamo 5th (51 pts), St. Louis City 3rd (54 pts).
Recent form
Houston Dynamo bring a L W D D D D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Portland Timbers, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.7 a game.
The last six for St. Louis City read L L L D L D (zero wins). Most recent: v San Diego, 0–1 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Aug 2026): St. Louis City 2–1 Houston Dynamo. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Houston Dynamo 1.5, St. Louis City 1.4 – 3.0 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 58%, BTTS 63%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.50 against a fair 1.56. Likeliest score: Houston Dynamo 2–1 St. Louis City. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Houston Dynamo
last 6- L@ Portland Timbers1–32 Nov
- W@ Seattle Sounders1–029 Oct
- Dv Minnesota United FC0–025 Oct
- Dv FC Dallas2–218 Oct
- D@ San Diego3–315 Oct
- D@ Minnesota United FC2–211 Oct
St. Louis City
last 6- Lv San Diego0–131 Oct
- Lv Portland Timbers2–329 Oct
- L@ Real Salt Lake0–325 Oct
- D@ Columbus Crew0–022 Oct
- L@ Minnesota United FC2–317 Oct
- Dv Vancouver Whitecaps0–015 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 23 Aug 2026St. Louis City2–1Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC | 34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Austin | 34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | -41 | 26 |
More Major League Soccer predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.50 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City?
The model gives Houston Dynamo 42%, the draw 22% and St. Louis City 37%.
What is the likeliest score in Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Houston Dynamo 2–1 St. Louis City.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City?
Around 3.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 58% and both teams to score 63%.
When does Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 01:00 WAT, at Shell Energy Stadium – Major League Soccer.