Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Vitoria (1.3) plus Fluminense (1.3) puts 2.6 goals on the board. The line lands in 73% of the model's runs. Vitoria were beaten last time (LLD); Fluminense's latest result was a win (WWL). Price check: 1.30 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Vitoria 39%, draw 22%, Fluminense 39%. Table: Vitoria 15th (38 pts), Fluminense 4th (57 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Vitoria read L D D L W L (one win). Most recent: at Coritiba, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.5 a game.
The last six for Fluminense read W L W L L L (two wins). Most recent: v Internacional, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.3 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Vitoria 1.3, Fluminense 1.3 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 48%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 73, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.37. Likeliest score: Vitoria 2–1 Fluminense. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Vitoria
last 6- L@ Coritiba0–229 Oct
- Dv Atletico Paranaense1–124 Oct
- D@ Corinthians1–120 Oct
- L@ Sao Paulo1–211 Oct
- Wv Chapecoense-sc4–08 Oct
- Lv Cruzeiro1–320 Sep
Fluminense
last 6- Wv Internacional2–128 Oct
- L@ Chapecoense-sc1–224 Oct
- W@ Palmeiras1–022 Oct
- Lv Santos1–218 Oct
- Lv Palmeiras1–215 Oct
- L@ Flamengo0–111 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie A table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Vitoria vs Fluminense?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73, priced around 1.30 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Vitoria or Fluminense?
The model gives Vitoria 39%, the draw 22% and Fluminense 39%.
What is the likeliest score in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Vitoria 2–1 Fluminense.
How many goals are expected in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 48% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Vitoria vs Fluminense kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 00:00 WAT, at Barradao – Serie A.