Mirassol vs Atletico-MG prediction: Mirassol or draw
Only a Mirassol loss beats this pick, and the model puts that at 15%. Mirassol's form is mixed (DWL, 1 W 1 D 1 L); Atletico-MG have no win in 5 (DDLLL). The bookmaker's 1.28 beats the model's fair price of 1.18.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Mirassol strong home favourites (64%). Table: Mirassol 14th (40 pts), Atletico-MG 7th (50 pts).
Recent form
Mirassol bring a W L D W L D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Chapecoense-sc, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.0 a game.
The last six for Atletico-MG read D L L L L L (zero wins). Most recent: v Gremio, 1–1 (drawn). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Mirassol 1.9, Atletico-MG 0.8 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 50%, BTTS 58%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Mirassol or draw – Mind Score 85, bookmaker price around 1.28 against a fair 1.18. Likeliest score: Mirassol 1–0 Atletico-MG. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Mirassol
last 6- W@ Chapecoense-sc2–13 Nov
- L@ Corinthians0–231 Oct
- Dv Sao Paulo1–124 Oct
- Wv Internacional2–017 Oct
- L@ Bahia0–111 Oct
- D@ RB Bragantino1–17 Oct
Atletico-MG
last 6- Dv Gremio1–17 Nov
- L@ Botafogo0–15 Nov
- L@ Gremio0–21 Nov
- Lv Cruzeiro0–129 Oct
- L@ Flamengo2–327 Oct
- L@ Atletico Torque0–221 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie A table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Mirassol vs Atletico-MG?
The Mind pick is Mirassol or draw with a Mind Score of 85, priced around 1.28 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Mirassol or Atletico-MG?
The model gives Mirassol 64%, the draw 21% and Atletico-MG 15%.
What is the likeliest score in Mirassol vs Atletico-MG?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Mirassol 1–0 Atletico-MG.
How many goals are expected in Mirassol vs Atletico-MG?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 50% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Mirassol vs Atletico-MG kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 22:30 WAT, at José Maria de Campos Maia – Serie A.