A. Italiano vs D. La Serena prediction: A. Italiano to win
The model lands a A. Italiano win in 63% of simulations. A. Italiano were beaten last time (LLD). The bookmaker's 1.94 beats the model's fair price of 1.60.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A. Italiano are clear favourites at 63% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: A. Italiano 13th (30 pts), D. La Serena 9th (37 pts).
Recent form
A. Italiano bring a D D L W L L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Universidad de Chile, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.7 a game.
D. La Serena – sample of six: L L W L D L, with one win. Most recent: v Union La Calera, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 3.0 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Mar 2026): A. Italiano 3–1 D. La Serena. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: A. Italiano 1.9, D. La Serena 0.9 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 55%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was A. Italiano to win – Mind Score 63, bookmaker price around 1.94 against a fair 1.60. Likeliest score: A. Italiano 1–0 D. La Serena. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
A. Italiano
last 6- D@ Universidad de Chile2–27 Jun
- D@ Palestino0–01 Jun
- L@ Olimpia1–327 May
- Wv Barracas Central2–019 May
- L@ Coquimbo Unido0–316 May
- Lv Vasco DA Gama1–26 May
D. La Serena
last 6- Lv Union La Calera0–27 Jun
- Lv Colo Colo2–430 May
- Wv Deportes Limache4–124 May
- L@ Palestino1–516 May
- D@ Concepción3–319 Apr
- L@ A. Italiano1–326 Mar
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 26 Mar 2026A. Italiano3–1D. La Serena
Primera División table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 27 | +29 | 61 |
| 2 |  Universidad de Chile | 27 | +25 | 51 |
| 3 |  U. Catolica | 27 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |  Deportes Limache | 27 | +8 | 40 |
| 5 |  Everton de Vina | 27 | +8 | 40 |
| 6 |  Coquimbo Unido | 26 | +4 | 38 |
| 7 |  Palestino | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 8 |  Concepción | 27 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 |  D. La Serena | 27 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 |  Nublense | 27 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 |  Huachipato | 26 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 |  O'Higgins | 27 | -10 | 31 |
| 13 |  A. Italiano | 27 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 |  Cobresal | 27 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | -27 | 26 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 27 | -19 | 24 |
More Primera División predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
The Mind pick is A. Italiano to win with a Mind Score of 63, priced around 1.94 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, A. Italiano or D. La Serena?
The model gives A. Italiano 63%, the draw 18% and D. La Serena 19%.
What is the likeliest score in A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is A. Italiano 1–0 D. La Serena.
How many goals are expected in A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 57%.
When does A. Italiano vs D. La Serena kick off?
Saturday 13 June 2026, 01:00 WAT, at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida – Primera División.