San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.2 goals projected – a low-event game. Probability 75%. At 1.30 the market and the model roughly agree.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – San Luis 40%, San Marcos de Arica 32%. Table: San Marcos de Arica 6th (43 pts), San Luis 2nd (54 pts).
Recent form
San Marcos de Arica – sample of six: W D L W W L, with three wins. Most recent: at Deportes Temuco, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.2 a game.
San Luis – sample of six: D W W W W W, with five wins. Most recent: v Recoleta, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.3 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jun 2026): San Luis 1–0 San Marcos de Arica. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: San Marcos de Arica 1.0, San Luis 1.2 – 2.2 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 54%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.33. Likeliest score: San Marcos de Arica 0–1 San Luis. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
San Marcos de Arica
last 6- W@ Deportes Temuco2–125 Oct
- Dv D. Puerto Montt0–018 Oct
- L@ Antofagasta0–311 Oct
- W@ Deportes Santa Cruz2–14 Oct
- Wv Curico Unido3–013 Sep
- L@ Recoleta1–29 Sep
San Luis
last 6- Dv Recoleta1–124 Oct
- W@ Magallanes1–017 Oct
- W@ D. Puerto Montt1–012 Oct
- Wv Union Espanola2–04 Oct
- W@ Union San Felipe1–030 Sep
- Wv Antofagasta2–115 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 6 Jun 2026San Luis1–0San Marcos de Arica
Primera B table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cobreloa | 29 | +22 | 54 |
| 2 |  San Luis | 29 | +14 | 54 |
| 3 |  Santiago Wanderers | 29 | +16 | 50 |
| 4 |  Antofagasta | 29 | +25 | 48 |
| 5 |  Magallanes | 29 | +1 | 46 |
| 6 |  San Marcos de Arica | 29 | +7 | 43 |
| 7 |  Recoleta | 29 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Deportes Copiapo | 29 | +1 | 41 |
| 9 |  Union Espanola | 29 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Deportes Iquique | 29 | +9 | 38 |
| 11 |  D. Puerto Montt | 29 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportes Temuco | 30 | +1 | 36 |
| 13 |  Curico Unido | 30 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 |  Deportes Santa Cruz | 29 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 |  Union San Felipe | 29 | -34 | 23 |
| 16 |  Rangers de Talca | 29 | -19 | 21 |
More Primera B predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.30 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, San Marcos de Arica or San Luis?
The model gives San Marcos de Arica 32%, the draw 27% and San Luis 40%.
What is the likeliest score in San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is San Marcos de Arica 0–1 San Luis.
How many goals are expected in San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis?
Around 2.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 54%.
When does San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 22:00 WAT, at Estadio Carlos Dittborn – Primera B.