Australia New South Wales NPL
Sat 8 Aug 2026 · Seymour Shaw Park
Full time
Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U23 prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.9 goals in total. Probability 64%. The 1.48 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Sutherland Sharks 57%, Sydney FC U23 26%, draw 17%.
Recent form
Sutherland Sharks – sample of six: W W D L W W, with four wins. Most recent: v Wollongong Wolves, 2–1 (won). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
The last six for Sydney FC U23 read L D D L L W (one win). Most recent: at Blacktown City, 2–4 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.5 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): Sydney FC U23 0–0 Sutherland Sharks. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Sutherland Sharks 1.8, Sydney FC U23 1.1 – 2.9 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 57%, both to score at 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.48 against a fair 1.55. Likeliest score: Sutherland Sharks 2–1 Sydney FC U23. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Sutherland Sharks
last 6- Wv Wollongong Wolves2–11 Aug
- W@ Rockdale City Suns3–126 Jul
- Dv Sydney Olympic1–118 Jul
- L@ Manly United1–211 Jul
- Wv APIA Leichhardt Tigers3–24 Jul
- W@ UNSW3–127 Jun
Sydney FC U23
last 6- L@ Blacktown City2–42 Aug
- D@ St. George Saints0–025 Jul
- Dv Manly United0–017 Jul
- L@ APIA Leichhardt Tigers1–211 Jul
- L@ UNSW2–34 Jul
- W@ SD Raiders1–030 Jun
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 24 Apr 2026Sydney FC U230–0Sutherland Sharks
More New South Wales NPL predictions
League page →
UNSW1
Sydney Olympic3
Manly United3
Marconi Stallions1
SD Raiders3
Western Sydney Wanderers U230
NWS Spirit3
Blacktown City1
St. George Saints0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers0
St George City FA1
Rockdale City Suns0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U23?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.48 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Sutherland Sharks or Sydney FC U23?
The model gives Sutherland Sharks 57%, the draw 17% and Sydney FC U23 26%.
What is the likeliest score in Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U23?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sutherland Sharks 2–1 Sydney FC U23.
How many goals are expected in Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U23?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 57% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U23 kick off?
Saturday 8 August 2026, 08:30 WAT, at Seymour Shaw Park – New South Wales NPL.