Australia New South Wales NPL
Sun 30 Aug 2026 · Lambert Park
Full time
APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA prediction: APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win
APIA Leichhardt Tigers rate better at both ends – 2.1 expected for, 0.8 against. Price check: 1.44 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
APIA Leichhardt Tigers are clear favourites at 68% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work.
Recent form
APIA Leichhardt Tigers – sample of six: D D W D D W, with two wins. Most recent: at Sydney United, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.5 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
St George City FA bring a L W W W W L line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: at Sutherland Sharks, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.8 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2.1, St George City FA 0.8 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 54%, BTTS 58%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.44 against a fair 1.47. Likeliest score: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–0 St George City FA. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
last 6- D@ Sydney United0–023 Aug
- Dv Melbourne Victory0–019 Aug
- Wv SD Raiders3–115 Aug
- Dv Sydney United1–112 Aug
- D@ St. George Saints0–08 Aug
- W@ Sydney Olympic3–12 Aug
St George City FA
last 6- L@ Sutherland Sharks1–222 Aug
- W@ Sydney FC U232–014 Aug
- Wv Rockdale City Suns1–08 Aug
- W@ Marconi Stallions1–02 Aug
- Wv Sydney United1–025 Jul
- L@ Blacktown City0–319 Jul
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
More New South Wales NPL predictions
League page →
Sydney Olympic1
Sydney FC U231
Marconi Stallions1
NWS Spirit1
Wollongong Wolves0
Manly United4
Blacktown City1
Western Sydney Wanderers U233
Sydney United6
St. George Saints0
Sutherland Sharks1
SD Raiders2
Rockdale City Suns2
UNSW0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA?
The Mind pick is APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.44 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, APIA Leichhardt Tigers or St George City FA?
The model gives APIA Leichhardt Tigers 68%, the draw 19% and St George City FA 13%.
What is the likeliest score in APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–0 St George City FA.
How many goals are expected in APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 58%.
When does APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA kick off?
Sunday 30 August 2026, 06:00 WAT, at Lambert Park – New South Wales NPL.