Australia New South Wales NPL Sat 18 Jul 2026 · The Village Green Full time

UNSW vs NWS Spirit prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

UNSW (1.3) plus NWS Spirit (1.5) puts 2.7 goals on the board. The line lands in 75% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.25 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

75Mind Score Odds1.25 Score1–2

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · UNSW2.6535% X · Draw3.3021% 2 · NWS Spirit2.3844%

Double chance

1X1.4556% 121.2279% X21.4465%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2575% Under 1.53.6525%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7752% Under 2.51.9548%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.9530% Under 3.51.3670%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6061% NG · No2.1039%

Half-time result

HT 13.2026% HT X2.1542% HT 22.9032%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A slight away lean – NWS Spirit 44%, UNSW 35%.

Recent form

UNSW – sample of six: W W L L L L, with two wins. Most recent: at St George City FA, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 2.0 a game.

NWS Spirit – sample of six: W D W L W L, with three wins. Most recent: v St. George Saints, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.7 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Apr 2026): NWS Spirit 2–1 UNSW. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: UNSW 1.3, NWS Spirit 1.5 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 61%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.33. Likeliest score: UNSW 1–2 NWS Spirit. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.