Netherlands KNVB Beker Tue 3 Mar 2026 · Goffertstadion Full time

PSV Eindhoven

22%NEC Nijmegen11%Draw67%PSV Eindhoven

NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven prediction: PSV Eindhoven to win

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ PSV Eindhoven to win

The model lands a PSV Eindhoven win in 67% of simulations. NEC Nijmegen's latest result was a win (WWLD); PSV Eindhoven's latest result was a win (WLWD). The bookmaker's 1.63 beats the model's fair price of 1.49.

67Mind Score Odds1.63 Score1–2

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · NEC Nijmegen4.1022% X · Draw4.7011% 2 · PSV Eindhoven1.6367%

Double chance

1X2.2033% 121.1489% X21.2278%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.0888% Under 1.57.5012%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.3072% Under 2.53.4528%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.8052% Under 3.52.0048%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.3565% NG · No2.8835%

Half-time result

HT 13.9019% HT X2.7533% HT 22.0048%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

PSV Eindhoven rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 67% in the model.

Expected goals

Expected goals: NEC Nijmegen 1.3, PSV Eindhoven 2.5 – 3.7 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 72%, BTTS 65%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was PSV Eindhoven to win – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.63 against a fair 1.49. Likeliest score: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

NEC Nijmegen

last 1

D@ Sparta Rotterdam1–117 Feb

1.0scored / game1.0conceded100%GG0%over 2.5

PSV Eindhoven

last 1

L@ FC Volendam1–213 Feb

1.0scored / game2.0conceded100%GG100%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?

The Mind pick is PSV Eindhoven to win with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.63 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, NEC Nijmegen or PSV Eindhoven?

The model gives NEC Nijmegen 22%, the draw 11% and PSV Eindhoven 67%.

What is the likeliest score in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven.

How many goals are expected in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?

Around 3.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 72% and both teams to score 65%.

When does NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven kick off?

Tuesday 3 March 2026, 20:00 WAT, at Goffertstadion – KNVB Beker.