Europe UEFA Nations League Thu 24 Sep 2026 Full time

Liechtenstein

WLLL

0–2

Half-time 0–0

Lithuania

12%Liechtenstein23%Draw65%Lithuania

Liechtenstein vs Lithuania prediction: Lithuania to win

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Lithuania to win

The model lands a Lithuania win in 65% of simulations. The 1.30 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

65Mind Score Odds1.30

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Liechtenstein11.0012% X · Draw4.5023% 2 · Lithuania1.3065%

Double chance

1X3.3035% 121.1877% X21.0588%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Lithuania rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 65% in the model. Table: Liechtenstein 3rd (1 pts), Lithuania 2nd (4 pts).

Recent form

Liechtenstein – sample of four: L L L W, with one win. Most recent: v Cyprus, 0–2 (lost). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Lithuania to win – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.54. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.