Serbia vs Germany prediction: Germany to win
Projected goals favour Germany: 2.2 against 0.7. The 1.22 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Germany rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 74% in the model. Table: Serbia 4th (0 pts), Germany 3rd (8 pts).
Recent form
Serbia bring a L L L L L L line into this one: zero wins from six. Most recent: at Netherlands, 1–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Germany bring a D W L D D L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Greece, 0–0 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Oct 2026): Germany 2–0 Serbia. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Serbia 0.7, Germany 2.2 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 61%, BTTS 53%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Germany to win – Mind Score 74, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.35. Likeliest score: Serbia 0–2 Germany. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Serbia
last 6- L@ Netherlands1–24 Oct
- L@ Germany0–21 Oct
- Lv Netherlands1–227 Sep
- Lv Greece1–224 Sep
- L@ Mexico1–55 Jun
- L@ Cape Verde Islands0–331 May
Germany
last 6- D@ Greece0–04 Oct
- Wv Serbia2–01 Oct
- Lv Greece0–127 Sep
- D@ Netherlands1–124 Sep
- Dv Paraguay1–129 Jun
- L@ Ecuador1–225 Jun
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 1 Oct 2026Germany2–0Serbia
UEFA Nations League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 5 | +9 | 11 |
| 2 |  Greece | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 3 |  Germany | 5 | +3 | 8 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 5 | -7 | 0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League page →
Moldova2
Kazakhstan1
Slovakia2
Faroe Islands2
Bulgaria0
Iceland5
Liechtenstein0
Azerbaijan1
Luxembourg0
Estonia1
Andorra2
Gibraltar0
Slovenia0
Switzerland0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Serbia vs Germany?
The Mind pick is Germany to win with a Mind Score of 74, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Serbia or Germany?
The model gives Serbia 11%, the draw 15% and Germany 74%.
What is the likeliest score in Serbia vs Germany?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Serbia 0–2 Germany.
How many goals are expected in Serbia vs Germany?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 61% and both teams to score 53%.
When does Serbia vs Germany kick off?
Friday 13 November 2026, 20:45 WAT, at Rajko Mitić Stadion – UEFA Nations League.