Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification Sat 14 Nov 2026 · Hoima City Stadium Upcoming

Uganda vs Botswana prediction: Uganda to win

The Mind pick Uganda to win

The model lands a Uganda win in 68% of simulations. The bookmaker's 1.55 beats the model's fair price of 1.47.

68Mind Score Odds1.55 Score1–0

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Uganda1.5568% X · Draw3.6423% 2 · Botswana6.289%

Double chance

1X1.0891% 121.2477% X22.3232%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4068% Under 1.52.5632%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.3642% Under 2.51.5458%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.5022% Under 3.51.1378%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.3547% NG · No1.5353%

Half-time result

HT 12.1648% HT X2.0141% HT 27.1811%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Uganda are clear favourites at 68% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Uganda 2nd (13 pts), Botswana 2nd (8 pts).

Recent form

The last four for Uganda read D W W D (two wins). Most recent: v Congo DR, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.5 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Uganda 1.9, Botswana 0.6 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 42%, BTTS 47%.

The pick

Pick: Uganda to win – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.55 against a fair 1.47. Likeliest score: Uganda 1–0 Botswana. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.