Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas prediction: Over 1.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 2.8, clear of the 1.5 line. Mind Score 77. Atletico Nacional's form is mixed (DDWDW, 2 W 3 D 0 L); Once Caldas's form is mixed (DDWWD, 2 W 3 D 0 L). Price check: 1.22 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Atletico Nacional edge it at home, 44% to 34%, with the draw on 22%. Table: Atletico Nacional 1st (40 pts), Once Caldas 8th (28 pts).
Recent form
Atletico Nacional bring a D W D W W W line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: at Once Caldas, 1–1 (drawn). The attack is running at 2.2 per game.
Once Caldas – sample of six: D W W W D D, with three wins. Most recent: v Atletico Nacional, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.5 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Atletico Nacional 0 wins, Once Caldas 1, draws 1; 1.5 goals per game. Latest (Nov 2026): Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico Nacional. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Atletico Nacional 1.5, Once Caldas 1.3 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 61%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 77, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.30. Likeliest score: Atletico Nacional 2–1 Once Caldas. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Atletico Nacional
last 6- D@ Once Caldas1–111 Nov
- Wv Deportivo Pereira4–38 Nov
- D@ Bucaramanga1–13 Nov
- Wv Santa Fe2–030 Oct
- Wv Independiente Medellin2–126 Oct
- Wv Deportivo Pasto3–023 Oct
Once Caldas
last 6- Dv Atletico Nacional1–111 Nov
- Wv Águilas Doradas1–07 Nov
- W@ Santa Fe2–02 Nov
- Wv Alianza Valledupar1–029 Oct
- Dv Deportivo Pereira1–125 Oct
- D@ Millonarios1–121 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 11 Nov 2026Once Caldas1–1Atletico Nacional
- 2 May 2026Once Caldas1–0Atletico Nacional
Primera A table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | +7 | 35 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | +4 | 34 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | +10 | 31 |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | +4 | 27 |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | +8 | 26 |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | +2 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | +6 | 23 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | -17 | 10 |
More Primera A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Atletico Nacional or Once Caldas?
The model gives Atletico Nacional 44%, the draw 22% and Once Caldas 34%.
What is the likeliest score in Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Atletico Nacional 2–1 Once Caldas.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 61%.
When does Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 21:30 WAT, at Estadio Atanasio Girardot – Primera A.