406 matches analysed today 5 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 08:46 WATTelegram18+
Colombia Primera A Thu 12 Nov 2026 · Estadio Departamental Libertad Full time
0–1
Half-time 0–0

Junior

DWDLW
7%Deportivo Pasto17%Draw76%Junior

Deportivo Pasto vs Junior prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 3.3, clear of the 1.5 line. Mind Score 78. Deportivo Pasto were beaten last time (LLLW); Junior's latest result was a win (WWLD). Price check: 1.30 is close to fair.

78Mind Score Odds1.30 Score0–2

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Deportivo Pasto15.007% X · Draw7.5017% 2 · Junior1.1276%

Double chance

1X6.0024% 121.1083% X21.0393%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3078% Under 1.53.4022%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.3368% Under 2.53.4032%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.5034% Under 3.51.2866%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8054% NG · No1.9146%

Half-time result

HT 112.0010% HT X3.2533% HT 21.4457%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Junior rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 76% in the model. Table: Deportivo Pasto 18th (15 pts), Junior 14th (22 pts).

Recent form

Deportivo Pasto bring a L L W L L D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Santa Fe, 0–5 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.3 goals a game.

The last six for Junior read W L D W D D (two wins). Most recent: v Cucuta, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.8 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Head-to-head

Latest (May 2026): Junior 4–3 Deportivo Pasto. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Deportivo Pasto 0.7, Junior 2.6 – 3.3 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 68%, BTTS 54%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 78, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.28. Likeliest score: Deportivo Pasto 0–2 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Deportivo Pasto

last 6
  • L@ Santa Fe0–58 Nov
  • L@ Bucaramanga1–231 Oct
  • W@ Deportes Tolima1–026 Oct
  • L@ Atletico Nacional0–323 Oct
  • Lv Alianza Valledupar0–120 Oct
  • Dv Fortaleza FC0–04 Oct
0.3scored / game1.8conceded17%GG50%over 2.5

Junior

last 6
  • Wv Cucuta2–010 Nov
  • L@ Llaneros2–31 Nov
  • D@ Chico1–128 Oct
  • Wv Águilas Doradas1–024 Oct
  • D@ Deportivo Cali0–019 Oct
  • Dv Deportivo Pereira1–114 Oct
1.2scored / game0.8conceded50%GG17%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 3 May 2026Junior4–3Deportivo Pasto

Primera A table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 78, priced around 1.30 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Deportivo Pasto or Junior?

The model gives Deportivo Pasto 7%, the draw 17% and Junior 76%.

What is the likeliest score in Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Deportivo Pasto 0–2 Junior.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

Around 3.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 68% and both teams to score 54%.

When does Deportivo Pasto vs Junior kick off?

Thursday 12 November 2026, 22:00 WAT, at Estadio Departamental Libertad – Primera A.