Monza vs Atalanta prediction: Atalanta to win
Projected goals favour Atalanta: 2.3 against 1.2. Monza have no win in 3 (LLL); Atalanta's latest result was a win (WDLDD). The bookmaker's 1.95 beats the model's fair price of 1.55.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The away side carries the numbers: Atalanta 64%, Monza 22%. Table: Monza 18th (7 pts), Atalanta 12th (14 pts).
Recent form
Monza – sample of six: L L L W L D, with one win. Most recent: at Bologna, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 2.3 a game.
Atalanta – sample of six: D L D D L L, with zero wins. Most recent: v Kairat Almaty, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 2.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Monza 1.2, Atalanta 2.3 – 3.5 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 66%, both to score at 63%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Atalanta to win – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.95 against a fair 1.55. Likeliest score: Monza 1–2 Atalanta. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Monza
last 6- L@ Bologna1–231 Oct
- Lv Napoli1–428 Oct
- L@ Torino2–323 Oct
- Wv Cagliari4–019 Oct
- L@ Lazio1–311 Oct
- D@ Stade Brestois 292–23 Oct
Atalanta
last 6- Dv Kairat Almaty1–15 Nov
- Lv Parma0–32 Nov
- D@ Fiorentina2–229 Oct
- Dv Frosinone4–425 Oct
- L@ Ajax0–222 Oct
- L@ AC Milan2–318 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie A table
League page →More Serie A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Monza vs Atalanta?
The Mind pick is Atalanta to win with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.95 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Monza or Atalanta?
The model gives Monza 22%, the draw 13% and Atalanta 64%.
What is the likeliest score in Monza vs Atalanta?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Monza 1–2 Atalanta.
How many goals are expected in Monza vs Atalanta?
Around 3.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 66% and both teams to score 63%.
When does Monza vs Atalanta kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 15:00 WAT – Serie A.

