Parma vs Bologna prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.5 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Probability 75%. Parma were beaten last time (LWDL); Bologna are unbeaten across their last 4 (WWWW). At 1.28 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The away side carries the numbers: Bologna 63%, Parma 17%. Table: Parma 16th (8 pts), Bologna 8th (17 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Parma read W D L L L W (two wins). Most recent: at Atalanta, 3–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.5 a game.
The last six for Bologna read W W W L W D (four wins). Most recent: v Monza, 2–1 (won). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Parma 0.7, Bologna 1.7 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 52%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.28 against a fair 1.33. Likeliest score: Parma 0–1 Bologna. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Parma
last 6- W@ Atalanta3–02 Nov
- Dv Udinese0–028 Oct
- L@ Lazio1–224 Oct
- Lv Torino0–319 Oct
- L@ Inter0–310 Oct
- Wv Genoa2–120 Sep
Bologna
last 6- Wv Monza2–131 Oct
- W@ AC Milan4–228 Oct
- W@ Cagliari2–024 Oct
- Lv Inter1–317 Oct
- W@ Lecce2–111 Oct
- Dv Torino1–119 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie A table
League page →
More Serie A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Parma vs Bologna?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.28 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Parma or Bologna?
The model gives Parma 17%, the draw 19% and Bologna 63%.
What is the likeliest score in Parma vs Bologna?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Parma 0–1 Bologna.
How many goals are expected in Parma vs Bologna?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 52%.
When does Parma vs Bologna kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 18:00 WAT, at Stadio Ennio Tardini – Serie A.