Como vs Cagliari prediction: Como to win
The model lands a Como win in 66% of simulations. Como's last 4 reads LWWW – 3 wins; Cagliari's latest result was a win (WLL). Price check: 1.33 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Como strong home favourites (66%). Table: Como 5th (23 pts), Cagliari 9th (16 pts).
Recent form
Como – sample of six: L W W W W W, with five wins. Most recent: at Inter, 0–2 (lost). The attack is running at 3.2 per game.
The last six for Cagliari read W L L L L D (one win). Most recent: v Frosinone, 1–0 (won). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Como 1.8, Cagliari 0.7 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 54%, BTTS 44%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Como to win – Mind Score 66, bookmaker price around 1.33 against a fair 1.52. Likeliest score: Como 1–0 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Como
last 6- L@ Inter0–28 Nov
- W@ Lens9–14 Nov
- Wv Venezia1–01 Nov
- W@ Torino3–127 Oct
- Wv Sassuolo2–024 Oct
- Wv Manchester United4–121 Oct
Cagliari
last 6- Wv Frosinone1–07 Nov
- L@ Lazio1–21 Nov
- L@ AS Roma2–427 Oct
- Lv Bologna0–224 Oct
- L@ Monza0–419 Oct
- Dv Juventus1–111 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie A table
League page →More Serie A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Como vs Cagliari?
The Mind pick is Como to win with a Mind Score of 66, priced around 1.33 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Como or Cagliari?
The model gives Como 66%, the draw 21% and Cagliari 13%.
What is the likeliest score in Como vs Cagliari?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Como 1–0 Cagliari.
How many goals are expected in Como vs Cagliari?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 44%.
When does Como vs Cagliari kick off?
Saturday 21 November 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia – Serie A.

