Auxerre vs Paris FC prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Auxerre (1.1) plus Paris FC (2.0) puts 3.1 goals on the board. Probability 80%. Auxerre were beaten last time (LLD); Paris FC's latest result was a win (WWL). Price check: 1.22 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Paris FC 60%, Auxerre 20%. Table: Auxerre 14th (10 pts), Paris FC 3rd (20 pts).
Recent form
Auxerre – sample of six: L D W L W W, with three wins. Most recent: at Strasbourg, 1–5 (lost). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Paris FC bring a W L W L W D line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Monaco, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.3 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Auxerre 1.1, Paris FC 2.0 – 3.1 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 57%, both to score at 58%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 80, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.25. Likeliest score: Auxerre 1–2 Paris FC. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Auxerre
last 6- L@ Strasbourg1–51 Nov
- Dv Le Mans1–125 Oct
- W@ Le Havre3–118 Oct
- L@ Rennes1–411 Oct
- Wv Clermont Foot4–32 Oct
- Wv Stade Brestois 292–120 Sep
Paris FC
last 6- Wv Monaco3–11 Nov
- L@ Lens1–224 Oct
- Wv Rennes4–318 Oct
- L@ Lorient0–110 Oct
- Wv Strasbourg2–119 Sep
- Dv Lyon0–012 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Ligue 1 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Lille | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Marseille | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Nice | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Rennes | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Lens | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Angers | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 10 | -13 | 2 |
More Ligue 1 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Auxerre vs Paris FC?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 80, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Auxerre or Paris FC?
The model gives Auxerre 20%, the draw 20% and Paris FC 60%.
What is the likeliest score in Auxerre vs Paris FC?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Auxerre 1–2 Paris FC.
How many goals are expected in Auxerre vs Paris FC?
Around 3.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 57% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Auxerre vs Paris FC kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 17:15 WAT, at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps – Ligue 1.