421 matches analysed today 65 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 13:44 WATTelegram18+
Scotland Premiership Sun 6 Sep 2026 · Tynecastle Park Full time
2–1
Half-time 0–1

Dundee

WLWLD
64%Heart Of Midlothian23%Draw12%Dundee

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee prediction: Heart Of Midlothian to win

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Heart Of Midlothian to win

Projected goals favour Heart Of Midlothian: 1.9 against 0.7. Heart Of Midlothian were beaten last time (LLLDW). At 1.50 the market and the model roughly agree.

64Mind Score Odds1.50 Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Heart Of Midlothian1.5064% X · Draw4.2023% 2 · Dundee5.8012%

Double chance

1X1.1288% 121.2277% X22.5036%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3475% · fair Under 1.53.9325% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.0050% · fair Under 2.52.0050% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.5828% · fair Under 3.51.3972% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6255% NG · No2.1545%

Half-time result

HT 11.9147% HT X2.5040% HT 25.5013%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Heart Of Midlothian are clear favourites at 64% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Heart Of Midlothian 4th (20 pts), Dundee 5th (17 pts).

Recent form

Heart Of Midlothian – sample of six: W W D D W D, with three wins. Most recent: at Hibernian, 3–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.5 per game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Dundee bring a D L W L W L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v ST Johnstone, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Heart Of Midlothian 1.9, Dundee 0.7 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 50%, BTTS 55%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Heart Of Midlothian to win – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.50 against a fair 1.55. Likeliest score: Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Heart Of Midlothian

last 6
  • W@ Hibernian3–13 Sep
  • Wv ST Johnstone2–129 Aug
  • D@ Rapid Vienna1–126 Aug
  • Dv Rapid Vienna2–220 Aug
  • Wv Inverness CT6–216 Aug
  • Dv Benfica1–113 Aug
2.5scored / game1.3conceded100%GG67%over 2.5

Dundee

last 6
  • Dv ST Johnstone1–12 Sep
  • Lv Hibernian1–230 Aug
  • W@ Dundee Utd2–022 Aug
  • L@ Aberdeen0–315 Aug
  • Wv Aberdeen2–08 Aug
  • L@ Celtic0–13 Aug
1.0scored / game1.2conceded33%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Premiership table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?

The Mind pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.50 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Heart Of Midlothian or Dundee?

The model gives Heart Of Midlothian 64%, the draw 23% and Dundee 12%.

What is the likeliest score in Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee.

How many goals are expected in Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 50% and both teams to score 55%.

When does Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee kick off?

Sunday 6 September 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Tynecastle Park – Premiership.