Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk prediction: Heart Of Midlothian or draw
Only a Heart Of Midlothian loss beats this pick, and the model puts that at 19%. Heart Of Midlothian arrive off a defeat (LLLDW); Falkirk carry a 3-match unbeaten sequence (WWW). At 1.25 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Heart Of Midlothian 58%, Falkirk 19%, draw 23%. Table: Heart Of Midlothian 4th (20 pts), Falkirk 3rd (21 pts).
Recent form
Heart Of Midlothian – sample of six: L L D W L L, with one win. Most recent: at FC Thun, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 2.7 a game.
Falkirk – sample of six: W W W W L D, with four wins. Most recent: v Celtic, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 0.7 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Heart Of Midlothian 2 wins, Falkirk 1, draws 0; 2.3 goals per game. Latest (Sep 2026): Falkirk 2–1 Heart Of Midlothian. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Heart Of Midlothian 1.9, Falkirk 1.0 – 2.9 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both to score at 58%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Heart Of Midlothian or draw – Mind Score 81, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.23. Likeliest score: Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Falkirk. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Heart Of Midlothian
last 6- L@ FC Thun1–35 Nov
- Lv Hibernian1–21 Nov
- Dv Rangers2–228 Oct
- W@ Motherwell2–025 Oct
- L@ Trabzonspor0–222 Oct
- L@ Celtic1–718 Oct
Falkirk
last 6- Wv Celtic2–01 Nov
- W@ Aberdeen1–028 Oct
- Wv Kilmarnock3–024 Oct
- W@ Hibernian2–117 Oct
- Lv Dundee1–210 Oct
- D@ ST Johnstone1–119 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 15 Sep 2026Falkirk2–1Heart Of Midlothian
- 13 May 2026Heart Of Midlothian3–0Falkirk
- 21 Feb 2026Heart Of Midlothian1–0Falkirk
Premiership table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 13 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |  Falkirk | 13 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 12 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 12 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 13 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Aberdeen | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 13 | -16 | 9 |
More Premiership predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
The Mind pick is Heart Of Midlothian or draw with a Mind Score of 81, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Heart Of Midlothian or Falkirk?
The model gives Heart Of Midlothian 58%, the draw 23% and Falkirk 19%.
What is the likeliest score in Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Falkirk.
How many goals are expected in Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Tynecastle Park – Premiership.