Genk vs Gent prediction: Genk or draw
Only a Genk loss beats this pick, and the model puts that at 16%. Genk were beaten last time (LLW); Gent's latest result was a win (WDLW). The bookmaker's 1.25 beats the model's fair price of 1.20.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Genk edge it at home, 57% to 16%, with the draw on 26%. Table: Genk 7th (15 pts), Gent 3rd (28 pts).
Recent form
Genk – sample of six: D W D W L W, with three wins. Most recent: at Anderlecht, 0–0 (drawn). Output is high: 2.3 goals a game across the sample.
Gent – sample of six: W W W W D W, with five wins. Most recent: at Cercle Brugge, 3–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 0.7 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Mar 2026): Genk 3–0 Gent. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Genk 2.1, Gent 1.1 – 3.2 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 62%, BTTS 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Genk or draw – Mind Score 84, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.20. Likeliest score: Genk 2–1 Gent. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Genk
last 6- D@ Anderlecht0–06 Sep
- Wv SK Beveren4–028 Aug
- D@ Antwerp4–422 Aug
- Wv KVC Westerlo3–215 Aug
- L@ Zulte Waregem1–29 Aug
- Wv Twente2–12 Aug
Gent
last 6- W@ Cercle Brugge3–06 Sep
- Wv OH Leuven1–03 Sep
- Wv Club Brugge KV2–130 Aug
- W@ Hibernian3–227 Aug
- Dv Hibernian0–020 Aug
- W@ RAAL La Louvière2–116 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 1 Mar 2026Genk3–0Gent
Jupiler Pro League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 11 | +23 | 29 |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 11 | +18 | 28 |
| 3 |  Gent | 11 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 11 | +13 | 27 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 |  Lommel United | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Genk | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Standard Liege | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  KVC Westerlo | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 |  OH Leuven | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  KV Mechelen | 11 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 |  St. Truiden | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 |  Antwerp | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 |  Zulte Waregem | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 |  SK Beveren | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 |  Cercle Brugge | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 |  RAAL La Louvière | 11 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 11 | -19 | 4 |
More Jupiler Pro League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Genk vs Gent?
The Mind pick is Genk or draw with a Mind Score of 84, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Genk or Gent?
The model gives Genk 57%, the draw 26% and Gent 16%.
What is the likeliest score in Genk vs Gent?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Genk 2–1 Gent.
How many goals are expected in Genk vs Gent?
Around 3.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 62% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Genk vs Gent kick off?
Sunday 13 September 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Cegeka Arena – Jupiler Pro League.