Brežice vs Ilirija prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.9 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Mind Score 68. Ilirija arrive off a defeat (LWW). Price check: 1.34 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Ilirija shade it on the road, 47% to 32%. Table: Brežice 16th (7 pts), Ilirija 6th (22 pts).
Recent form
Brežice bring a L L D D W D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Krka, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 2.0 a game.
The last six for Ilirija read L W W L W L (three wins). Most recent: v Triglav, 1–4 (lost). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Brežice 1.3, Ilirija 1.6 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 54%, BTTS 61%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.34 against a fair 1.48. Likeliest score: Brežice 1–2 Ilirija. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Brežice
last 6- L@ Krka0–17 Nov
- Lv Beltinci0–62 Nov
- D@ Dekani0–027 Oct
- Dv Aluminij2–223 Oct
- Wv Krško2–118 Oct
- D@ Jesenice2–210 Oct
Ilirija
last 6- Lv Triglav1–46 Nov
- W@ Dren Vrhnika4–131 Oct
- Wv Bilje3–027 Oct
- Lv Tabor Sežana0–116 Oct
- Wv Krka2–110 Oct
- Lv Beltinci2–44 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
2. SNL table
League page →
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League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Brežice vs Ilirija?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.34 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Brežice or Ilirija?
The model gives Brežice 32%, the draw 21% and Ilirija 47%.
What is the likeliest score in Brežice vs Ilirija?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Brežice 1–2 Ilirija.
How many goals are expected in Brežice vs Ilirija?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 61%.
When does Brežice vs Ilirija kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 17:00 WAT – 2. SNL.