Port Vale vs Accrington ST prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.5 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 76% of the model's runs. The form line for Port Vale reads WWWW – no defeats; Accrington ST were beaten last time (LWLD). The 1.25 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Port Vale 44%, Accrington ST 34%, draw 22%. Table: Port Vale 17th (18 pts), Accrington ST 13th (19 pts).
Recent form
Port Vale – sample of six: W W W L D W, with four wins. Most recent: v Scunthorpe, 4–2 (won). The attack is running at 2.5 per game.
Accrington ST bring a W L D W D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Sheffield Wednesday, 4–0 (won). Output is high: 2.3 goals a game across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Port Vale 1.4, Accrington ST 1.1 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 51%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.32. Likeliest score: Port Vale 1–0 Accrington ST. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Port Vale
last 6- Wv Scunthorpe4–27 Nov
- Wv Rochdale4–231 Oct
- Wv Manchester City U215–027 Oct
- L@ York0–224 Oct
- D@ Gillingham1–120 Oct
- Wv Chesterfield1–017 Oct
Accrington ST
last 6- W@ Sheffield Wednesday4–011 Nov
- Lv Wycombe0–27 Nov
- Dv Northampton1–131 Oct
- W@ Rochdale5–024 Oct
- D@ York1–120 Oct
- Wv Gillingham3–117 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
League Two table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 |  York | 15 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |  Crewe | 15 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 15 | +5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Exeter City | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Cheltenham | 15 | -3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Shrewsbury | 15 | -4 | 21 |
| 11 |  Fleetwood Town | 15 | +1 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Accrington ST | 15 | +4 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 15 | +3 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tranmere | 15 | +1 | 19 |
| 16 |  Swindon Town | 15 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 |  Port Vale | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bristol Rovers | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 19 |  Northampton | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 20 |  Oldham | 15 | -5 | 15 |
| 21 |  Colchester | 14 | -5 | 15 |
| 22 |  Rochdale | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Port Vale or Accrington ST?
The model gives Port Vale 44%, the draw 22% and Accrington ST 34%.
What is the likeliest score in Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Port Vale 1–0 Accrington ST.
How many goals are expected in Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 51%.
When does Port Vale vs Accrington ST kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Vale Park – League Two.