421 matches analysed today 53 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:25 WATTelegram18+
Poland III Liga Group 4 Sat 14 Nov 2026 Full time
4–0
Half-time 2–0
58%Sokół Kolb.24%Draw19%Busko-Zdroj

Sokół Kolb. vs Busko-Zdroj prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Under 3.5 goals

The model sees few chances: 2.9 goals in total. Mind Score 65. Sokół Kolb.'s latest result was a win (WLL); Busko-Zdroj were beaten last time (LWL). The 1.40 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

65Mind Score Odds1.40 Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Sokół Kolb.1.7058% X · Draw3.5824% 2 · Busko-Zdroj3.9219%

Double chance

1X1.1681% 121.1976% X21.8842%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1778% Under 1.54.0022%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.6456% Under 2.52.0844%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.5635% Under 3.51.4065%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6058% NG · No2.1142%

Half-time result

HT 12.2543% HT X2.2039% HT 24.4518%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A modest home lean: Sokół Kolb. 58%, Busko-Zdroj 19%, draw 24%. Table: Sokół Kolb. 11th (19 pts), Busko-Zdroj 14th (17 pts).

Recent form

Sokół Kolb. bring a L L L W L D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Czarni Połaniec, 2–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.7 a game.

Busko-Zdroj – sample of six: W L L L L W, with two wins. Most recent: v Jarosław, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 2.5 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Sokół Kolb. 1.9, Busko-Zdroj 1.0 – 2.9 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both to score at 58%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.40 against a fair 1.53. Likeliest score: Sokół Kolb. 1–0 Busko-Zdroj. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Sokół Kolb.

last 6
  • L@ Czarni Połaniec2–37 Nov
  • Lv Hetman Zamosc0–231 Oct
  • L@ KSZO 19291–224 Oct
  • Wv Wisła Kraków II1–017 Oct
  • L@ Naprzód0–111 Oct
  • Dv Moravia Morawica2–23 Oct
1.0scored / game1.7conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Busko-Zdroj

last 6
  • Wv Jarosław2–18 Nov
  • Lv Chełmianka Chełm0–331 Oct
  • L@ Czarni Połaniec1–224 Oct
  • Lv Hetman Zamosc2–418 Oct
  • L@ KSZO 19290–510 Oct
  • Wv Wisła Kraków II3–04 Oct
1.3scored / game2.5conceded50%GG100%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

III Liga Group 4 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm171340+2143
2KSZO 192917953+1432
3Czarni Połaniec17944+631
4Hetman Zamosc16853+829
5Naprzód17854+529
6Wisłoka Dębica17926+129
7Wisła Kraków II17845+228
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice17746+625
9Star Starachowice17665+324
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg17638-121
11Sokół Kolb.17476019
12KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
13Jarosław17539+118
14Busko-Zdroj175210-1817
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów173410-1313
17Podlasie Biała Podlaska173410-1613
18Moravia Morawica163310-1012

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Sokół Kolb. vs Busko-Zdroj?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.40 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Sokół Kolb. or Busko-Zdroj?

The model gives Sokół Kolb. 58%, the draw 24% and Busko-Zdroj 19%.

What is the likeliest score in Sokół Kolb. vs Busko-Zdroj?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sokół Kolb. 1–0 Busko-Zdroj.

How many goals are expected in Sokół Kolb. vs Busko-Zdroj?

Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 56% and both teams to score 58%.

When does Sokół Kolb. vs Busko-Zdroj kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 13:00 WAT – III Liga Group 4.