Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.7 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Probability 70%. Price check: 1.35 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Zaglebie Sosnowiec 51%, Stal Brzeg 26%. Table: Stal Brzeg 12th (19 pts), Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1st (37 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Stal Brzeg read D W L W D L (two wins). Most recent: at Stilon Gorzów, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.3 a game.
The last six for Zaglebie Sosnowiec read W W W W W W (six wins). Most recent: v Warta Gorzów, 3–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 0.2 a game. 5 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Stal Brzeg 1.1, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.6 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 58%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 70, bookmaker price around 1.35 against a fair 1.43. Likeliest score: Stal Brzeg 0–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Stal Brzeg
last 6- D@ Stilon Gorzów2–27 Nov
- Wv Zagłębie Lubin II4–131 Oct
- L@ Odra Bytom Odrzański2–324 Oct
- Wv Górnik Polkowice2–017 Oct
- D@ Barycz Sułów1–110 Oct
- Lv Carina Gubin0–13 Oct
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
last 6- Wv Warta Gorzów3–08 Nov
- W@ Stilon Gorzów2–031 Oct
- Wv Miedź Legnica II3–123 Oct
- W@ Zagłębie Lubin II1–017 Oct
- Wv Rakow II1–014 Oct
- Wv Kluczbork1–010 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
III Liga Group 3 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 17 | +5 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 17 | +7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 18 | +6 | 26 |
| 7 |  Górnik Polkowice | 17 | +2 | 25 |
| 8 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 17 | +5 | 24 |
| 9 |  Barycz Sułów | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 10 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 11 |  Kluczbork | 17 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 17 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 17 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Carina Gubin | 17 | -13 | 17 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 17 | -19 | 15 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 16 | -15 | 13 |
More III Liga Group 3 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 70, priced around 1.35 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Stal Brzeg or Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
The model gives Stal Brzeg 26%, the draw 24% and Zaglebie Sosnowiec 51%.
What is the likeliest score in Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Stal Brzeg 0–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
How many goals are expected in Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 52% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Stal Brzeg vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 13:00 WAT – III Liga Group 3.