421 matches analysed today 53 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:30 WATTelegram18+
Spain Segunda División Sun 6 Sep 2026 Full time

Almeria

WWWLL
3–2
Half-time 3–1

Cadiz

DWDDD
65%Almeria24%Draw11%Cadiz

Almeria vs Cadiz prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Under 3.5 goals

The model sees few chances: 1.8 goals in total. Mind Score 89. Almeria's latest result was a win (WWDD); Cadiz were beaten last time (LLWW). Mind Score 89.

89Mind Score Odds– Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Almeria1.5065% X · Draw4.0024% 2 · Cadiz5.8011%

Double chance

1X1.1289% 121.2276% X22.4535%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.8355% · fair Under 1.52.2045% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.53.6028% · fair Under 2.51.3872% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.58.8011% · fair Under 3.51.1389% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8046% NG · No1.9154%

Half-time result

HT 12.0542% HT X2.3050% HT 25.009%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Almeria strong home favourites (65%). Table: Almeria 1st (32 pts), Cadiz 20th (10 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Almeria read L L W W W L (three wins). Most recent: at Sabadell, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.5 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

The last six for Cadiz read D D D W D L (one win). Most recent: v Valladolid, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.3 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Almeria 1.4, Cadiz 0.4 – 1.8 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 72%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 89. Likeliest score: Almeria 1–0 Cadiz. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Almeria

last 6
  • L@ Sabadell0–129 Aug
  • L@ Tenerife0–123 Aug
  • Wv Eldense3–017 Aug
  • W@ Cordoba4–07 Aug
  • W@ Al-Nassr2–04 Aug
  • L@ Real Betis0–11 Aug
1.5scored / game0.5conceded0%GG33%over 2.5

Cadiz

last 6
  • Dv Valladolid1–130 Aug
  • D@ Eldense2–222 Aug
  • Dv Celta de Vigo II0–015 Aug
  • Wv Granada CF2–05 Aug
  • D@ Tenerife2–21 Aug
  • Lv AD Ceuta FC1–329 Jul
1.3scored / game1.3conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Segunda División table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria141022+1532
2Castellón13931+1930
3Girona14734+1124
4Burgos14734+324
5Mallorca13652+823
6Eibar12723+723
7Granada CF12723+623
8Sporting Gijon14725-123
9Oviedo14635+221
10Cordoba14626020
11Las Palmas13625-220
12Valladolid14536+118
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Leganes14437-1015
16Eldense13427-614
17Celta de Vigo II13346-613
18Real Sociedad II14347-713
19FC Andorra13328-611
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Almeria vs Cadiz?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 89.

Who is favourite, Almeria or Cadiz?

The model gives Almeria 65%, the draw 24% and Cadiz 11%.

What is the likeliest score in Almeria vs Cadiz?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Almeria 1–0 Cadiz.

How many goals are expected in Almeria vs Cadiz?

Around 1.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 28% and both teams to score 46%.

When does Almeria vs Cadiz kick off?

Sunday 6 September 2026, 20:00 WAT – Segunda División.