Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.4 goals in total. Mind Score 77. Alaves's latest result was a win (WDL); Deportivo La Coruna's form is mixed (DWW, 2 W 1 D 0 L). At 1.25 the market and the model roughly agree.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Alaves 44%, Deportivo La Coruna 30%, draw 26%. Table: Alaves 12th (13 pts), Deportivo La Coruna 9th (15 pts).
Recent form
Alaves – sample of six: W D L D L L, with one win. Most recent: at Anaitasuna, 6–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 2.0 a game.
Deportivo La Coruna – sample of six: D W W L D L, with two wins. Most recent: at Espanyol, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.0 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Alaves 1.3, Deportivo La Coruna 1.1 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 43%, BTTS 54%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 77, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.30. Likeliest score: Alaves 1–0 Deportivo La Coruna. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Alaves
last 6- W@ Anaitasuna6–110 Nov
- D@ Sevilla0–06 Nov
- L@ Barcelona1–631 Oct
- Dv Malaga1–123 Oct
- L@ Celta Vigo1–218 Oct
- Lv Atletico Madrid1–210 Oct
Deportivo La Coruna
last 6- D@ Espanyol0–07 Nov
- Wv Osasuna2–12 Nov
- W@ Auriense3–029 Oct
- L@ Atletico Madrid0–124 Oct
- Dv Levante1–116 Oct
- L@ Real Sociedad2–311 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
La Liga table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More La Liga predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Alaves or Deportivo La Coruna?
The model gives Alaves 44%, the draw 26% and Deportivo La Coruna 30%.
What is the likeliest score in Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Alaves 1–0 Deportivo La Coruna.
How many goals are expected in Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 43% and both teams to score 54%.
When does Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna kick off?
Saturday 21 November 2026, 14:00 WAT, at Estadio Mendizorrotza – La Liga.