UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo prediction: UD Logroñés to win
Projected goals favour UD Logroñés: 2.5 against 0.9. The bookmaker's 1.55 beats the model's fair price of 1.48.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
UD Logroñés are clear favourites at 68% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: UD Logroñés 2nd (23 pts), Arenas Getxo 19th (11 pts).
Recent form
UD Logroñés – sample of six: L W L W D L, with two wins. Most recent: at Amorebieta, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.3 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
The last six for Arenas Getxo read W W W L L D (three wins). Most recent: v Deportivo La Coruña II, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.7 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: UD Logroñés 2.5, Arenas Getxo 0.9 – 3.4 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 64%, BTTS 59%.
The pick
Pick: UD Logroñés to win – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.55 against a fair 1.48. Likeliest score: UD Logroñés 2–0 Arenas Getxo. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
UD Logroñés
last 6- L@ Amorebieta0–110 Nov
- W@ Racing Ferrol2–17 Nov
- Lv Mirandes0–131 Oct
- W@ Real Avilés3–124 Oct
- Dv Cultural Leonesa1–118 Oct
- L@ Lugo1–312 Oct
Arenas Getxo
last 6- Wv Deportivo La Coruña II2–18 Nov
- W@ CD Coria1–01 Nov
- Wv UD Ourense2–024 Oct
- Lv Mérida AD0–418 Oct
- L@ Cultural Leonesa1–412 Oct
- D@ Barakaldo1–13 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Primera División RFEF Group 1 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 11 | +10 | 28 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 |  Mérida AD | 12 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Pontevedra | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 5 |  Cacereño | 12 | +1 | 18 |
| 6 |  Racing Ferrol | 12 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Real Avilés | 11 | +8 | 17 |
| 8 |  Mirandes | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Extremadura 1924 | 11 | +6 | 16 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club II | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Real Unión | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Barakaldo | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 |  CD Coria | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Ponferradina | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cultural Leonesa | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 12 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 |  Zamora | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Arenas Getxo | 11 | -13 | 11 |
| 20 |  UD Ourense | 12 | -14 | 8 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo?
The Mind pick is UD Logroñés to win with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.55 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, UD Logroñés or Arenas Getxo?
The model gives UD Logroñés 68%, the draw 20% and Arenas Getxo 12%.
What is the likeliest score in UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is UD Logroñés 2–0 Arenas Getxo.
How many goals are expected in UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo?
Around 3.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 64% and both teams to score 59%.
When does UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:30 WAT, at Estadio Las Gaunas – Primera División RFEF Group 1.