406 matches analysed today 4 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 09:01 WATTelegram18+
Spain Primera División RFEF Group 2 Sat 14 Nov 2026 · Estadio Cerro del Espino Full time
0–1
Half-time 0–0
41%Rayo Majadahonda23%Draw35%Águilas

Rayo Majadahonda vs Águilas prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 2.2 projected goals. Mind Score 65. Rayo Majadahonda arrive off a defeat (LLLW); Águilas won most recently (WDDL). The 1.44 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

65Mind Score Odds1.44 Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Rayo Majadahonda2.2041% X · Draw2.9023% 2 · Águilas3.1035%

Double chance

1X1.2865% 121.3077% X21.5559%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4465% Under 1.52.6235%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.3839% Under 2.51.5361%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.5020% Under 3.51.1780%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.1052% NG · No1.6748%

Half-time result

HT 13.0028% HT X1.9547% HT 24.0025%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 41%, draw 23%, away 35%. Table: Rayo Majadahonda 19th (7 pts), Águilas 17th (9 pts).

Recent form

Rayo Majadahonda – sample of six: L L W W L L, with two wins. Most recent: at Antequera, 1–3 (lost). Just 0.7 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.

Águilas bring a D D L D L D line into this one: zero wins from six. Most recent: v Gimnastic, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Rayo Majadahonda 1.2, Águilas 1.1 – 2.2 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 39%, BTTS 52%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.44 against a fair 1.54. Likeliest score: Rayo Majadahonda 2–1 Águilas. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Rayo Majadahonda

last 6
  • L@ Antequera1–37 Nov
  • L@ Hércules0–21 Nov
  • W@ Ciudad de Lucena1–027 Oct
  • Wv Sant Andreu2–124 Oct
  • L@ Real Jaén0–118 Oct
  • Lv Real Murcia0–111 Oct
0.7scored / game1.3conceded33%GG33%over 2.5

Águilas

last 6
  • Dv Gimnastic1–18 Nov
  • D@ Juventud Torremolinos0–01 Nov
  • L@ Antequera0–229 Oct
  • D@ Teruel1–124 Oct
  • Lv Ibiza1–217 Oct
  • Dv Huesca2–210 Oct
0.8scored / game1.3conceded67%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Primera División RFEF Group 2 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaragoza11731+924
2Villarreal II11641+1122
3Real Murcia11623+420
4Real Jaén11542+419
5Real Madrid II12543+319
6Alcorcon11461+918
7Ibiza11533+418
8Hércules11524-117
9FC Cartagena11443+316
10Huesca11362015
11Gimnastic12435-215
12Antequera11353+214
13Algeciras11425-114
14Sant Andreu11344013
15Atlético Madrid II11254+111
16Europa Fc11317-1110
17Águilas11164-69
18Juventud Torremolinos11155-98
19Rayo Majadahonda11218-77
20Teruel11146-137

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Rayo Majadahonda vs Águilas?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.44 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Rayo Majadahonda or Águilas?

The model gives Rayo Majadahonda 41%, the draw 23% and Águilas 35%.

What is the likeliest score in Rayo Majadahonda vs Águilas?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Rayo Majadahonda 2–1 Águilas.

How many goals are expected in Rayo Majadahonda vs Águilas?

Around 2.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 39% and both teams to score 52%.

When does Rayo Majadahonda vs Águilas kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:30 WAT, at Estadio Cerro del Espino – Primera División RFEF Group 2.