Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas prediction: Over 1.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 2.5, clear of the 1.5 line. Probability 70%. Marek's recent sample is poor: LLL; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's latest result was a win (WDW). Price check: 1.32 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas shade it on the road, 44% to 34%. Table: Marek 13th (18 pts), Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1st (32 pts).
Recent form
Marek – sample of six: L L D L W W, with two wins. Most recent: at Hebar 1918, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 2.0 a game.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas bring a D W D L W W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Yantra 2019, 3–3 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.5 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Marek 3–0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Marek 1.1, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.3 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 51%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 70, bookmaker price around 1.32 against a fair 1.44. Likeliest score: Marek 1–2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Marek
last 6- L@ Hebar 19181–38 Nov
- Lv CSKA Sofia II1–331 Oct
- D@ Vihren1–123 Oct
- Lv Cherno More Varna0–317 Oct
- Wv Beroe3–210 Oct
- W@ Chavdar Troyan4–04 Oct
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
last 6- Dv Yantra 20193–39 Nov
- W@ Nesebar2–131 Oct
- Dv Sportist Svoge1–123 Oct
- Lv Botev Plovdiv0–418 Oct
- W@ Dobrudzha3–010 Oct
- W@ Volov Shumen2–04 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 11 May 2026Marek3–0Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Second League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 16 | +16 | 32 |
| 2 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 3 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 70, priced around 1.32 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Marek or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
The model gives Marek 34%, the draw 22% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 44%.
What is the likeliest score in Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Marek 1–2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
How many goals are expected in Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 51%.
When does Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 13:30 WAT, at Stadion Bonchuk – Second League.