Nesebar vs Fratria prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Nesebar (0.8) plus Fratria (1.9) puts 2.7 goals on the board. The line lands in 75% of the model's runs. The 1.21 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The away side carries the numbers: Fratria 62%, Nesebar 14%. Table: Nesebar 14th (18 pts), Fratria 4th (25 pts).
Recent form
Nesebar – sample of six: L L L L D D, with zero wins. Most recent: at Ludogorets II, 0–2 (lost). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
The last six for Fratria read W L L L W W (three wins). Most recent: v Sportist Svoge, 6–2 (won). The attack is running at 2.3 per game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Nesebar 0.8, Fratria 1.9 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 51%, BTTS 55%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.21 against a fair 1.33. Likeliest score: Nesebar 0–2 Fratria. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Nesebar
last 6- L@ Ludogorets II0–28 Nov
- Lv Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1–231 Oct
- L@ Hebar 19181–223 Oct
- Lv CSKA Sofia0–218 Oct
- Dv CSKA Sofia II0–010 Oct
- D@ Rodopa Smolyan1–14 Oct
Fratria
last 6- Wv Sportist Svoge6–29 Nov
- Lv Montana1–228 Oct
- Lv Botev Vratsa1–218 Oct
- L@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo0–29 Oct
- W@ Balkan Botevgrad3–03 Oct
- Wv Spartak Pleven3–027 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Second League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
More Second League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Nesebar vs Fratria?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.21 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Nesebar or Fratria?
The model gives Nesebar 14%, the draw 24% and Fratria 62%.
What is the likeliest score in Nesebar vs Fratria?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Nesebar 0–2 Fratria.
How many goals are expected in Nesebar vs Fratria?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Nesebar vs Fratria kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 13:30 WAT, at Gradski stadion – Second League.