Basconia vs Deportivo Alavés II prediction: Over 1.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 3.0, clear of the 1.5 line. Mind Score 77. Basconia won most recently (WDD); Deportivo Alavés II arrive off a defeat (LWD). The 1.22 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Deportivo Alavés II shade it on the road, 44% to 34%. Table: Basconia 9th (14 pts), Deportivo Alavés II 3rd (20 pts).
Recent form
Basconia – sample of six: W D D L D D, with one win. Most recent: v Amorebieta, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.3 a game.
Deportivo Alavés II – sample of six: L W D W D W, with three wins. Most recent: at Sestao River, 0–2 (lost). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Mar 2026): Deportivo Alavés II 0–0 Basconia. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Basconia 1.4, Deportivo Alavés II 1.6 – 3.0 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 55%, BTTS 61%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 77, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.30. Likeliest score: Basconia 1–2 Deportivo Alavés II. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Basconia
last 6- Wv Amorebieta2–17 Nov
- D@ Compostela0–01 Nov
- Dv Portugalete2–225 Oct
- L@ Racing Santander II1–317 Oct
- D@ Eibar II1–110 Oct
- Dv Llanera1–13 Oct
Deportivo Alavés II
last 6- L@ Sestao River0–28 Nov
- Wv Eibar II2–11 Nov
- Dv Racing Santander II3–324 Oct
- W@ Gimnástica Torrelavega5–118 Oct
- Dv Gernika1–111 Oct
- W@ Portugalete2–03 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 22 Mar 2026Deportivo Alavés II0–0Basconia
Segunda División RFEF Group 1 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sestao River | 10 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Eibar II | 10 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Alavés II | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 |  Bergantiños | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Compostela | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Portugalete | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Amorebieta | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Real Oviedo II | 10 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Basconia | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Ourense CF | 10 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gernika | 10 | +6 | 12 |
| 12 |  Racing Santander II | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 |  Llanera | 10 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 |  Coruxo | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Arosa | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 |  Marino de Luanco | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 |  Atlético Astorga | 10 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gimnástica Torrelavega | 10 | -12 | 6 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Basconia vs Deportivo Alavés II?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Basconia or Deportivo Alavés II?
The model gives Basconia 34%, the draw 22% and Deportivo Alavés II 44%.
What is the likeliest score in Basconia vs Deportivo Alavés II?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Basconia 1–2 Deportivo Alavés II.
How many goals are expected in Basconia vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Around 3.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 55% and both teams to score 61%.
When does Basconia vs Deportivo Alavés II kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 12:15 WAT – Segunda División RFEF Group 1.