Náxara vs Manresa prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.3 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. The line lands in 76% of the model's runs. Manresa arrive off a defeat (LLD). Price check: 1.24 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Manresa 50%, Náxara 23%. Table: Náxara 16th (6 pts), Manresa 8th (14 pts).
Recent form
Náxara – sample of six: L D L D W D, with one win. Most recent: at Arnedo, 1–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.
Manresa bring a L L D W D D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Barcelona B, 0–3 (lost). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Náxara 0.9, Manresa 1.4 – 2.3 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 44%, BTTS 55%.
The pick
Pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 76, bookmaker price around 1.24 against a fair 1.31. Likeliest score: Náxara 0–1 Manresa. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Náxara
last 6- L@ Arnedo1–28 Nov
- Dv Utebo1–131 Oct
- L@ Girona II0–325 Oct
- D@ SD Logroñés1–118 Oct
- Wv Peña Sport1–010 Oct
- Dv Barbastro0–027 Sep
Manresa
last 6- Lv Barcelona B0–38 Nov
- L@ Olot0–11 Nov
- Dv Sant Andreu0–027 Oct
- Wv Ebro3–224 Oct
- D@ Barbastro0–018 Oct
- Dv Osasuna II0–010 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Segunda División RFEF Group 2 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | +14 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | +10 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | +14 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | +8 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | +7 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | 18 | |
| 8 | 10 | +3 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | -2 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | 9 | |
| 13 | 10 | -6 | 9 | |
| 14 | 10 | -7 | 9 | |
| 15 | 11 | -9 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | -10 | 6 | |
| 17 | 10 | -13 | 6 | |
| 18 | 10 | -14 | 5 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Náxara vs Manresa?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76, priced around 1.24 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Náxara or Manresa?
The model gives Náxara 23%, the draw 27% and Manresa 50%.
What is the likeliest score in Náxara vs Manresa?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Náxara 0–1 Manresa.
How many goals are expected in Náxara vs Manresa?
Around 2.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 44% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Náxara vs Manresa kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 12:00 WAT – Segunda División RFEF Group 2.

