399 matches analysed today 13 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 06:53 WATTelegram18+
Spain Segunda División RFEF Group 3 Wed 11 Nov 2026 · Estadio El Collao Full time
1–2
Half-time 0–1
67%Alcoyano22%Draw10%Elche II

Alcoyano vs Elche II prediction: Alcoyano to win

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Alcoyano to win

Alcoyano rate better at both ends – 2.0 expected for, 0.7 against. Alcoyano arrive off a defeat (LWDL); Elche II won most recently (WDL). The 1.36 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

67Mind Score Odds1.36 Score2–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Alcoyano1.3667% X · Draw4.2022% 2 · Elche II7.0010%

Double chance

1X1.0890% 121.2078% X22.8033%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1776% Under 1.54.0024%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.6453% Under 2.52.0847%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.5632% Under 3.51.4068%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8548% NG · No1.8552%

Half-time result

HT 11.8548% HT X2.4039% HT 26.5012%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Alcoyano strong home favourites (67%). Table: Alcoyano 7th (14 pts), Elche II 15th (11 pts).

Recent form

Alcoyano bring a W D L L W W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Castellonense, 4–3 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.3 a game.

Elche II bring a D L L W L L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Intercity, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 3.0 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Alcoyano 2.0, Elche II 0.7 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 48%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Alcoyano to win – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.36 against a fair 1.49. Likeliest score: Alcoyano 2–0 Elche II. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Alcoyano

last 6
  • W@ Castellonense4–38 Nov
  • Dv Real Murcia II1–11 Nov
  • L@ Atlético Baleares0–225 Oct
  • L@ Ucam Murcia0–211 Oct
  • W@ Mallorca II1–04 Oct
  • Wv Deportiva Minera2–027 Sep
1.3scored / game1.3conceded33%GG17%over 2.5

Elche II

last 6
  • D@ Intercity2–27 Nov
  • Lv Castellón II1–531 Oct
  • L@ Mallorca II0–425 Oct
  • Wv Valencia II4–110 Oct
  • Lv Ucam Murcia1–53 Oct
  • L@ Yeclano0–127 Sep
1.3scored / game3.0conceded67%GG83%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Castellón II10703+1321
2Deportiva Minera10622+420
3Ucam Murcia10613+1119
4Cieza10523+817
5Castellonense10523+517
6La Nucía10514+116
7Alcoyano10424-214
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Elche II10325-911
16Real Murcia II9225-88
17Peña Deportiva10217-67
18Valencia II10145-77

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Alcoyano vs Elche II?

The Mind pick is Alcoyano to win with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.36 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Alcoyano or Elche II?

The model gives Alcoyano 67%, the draw 22% and Elche II 10%.

What is the likeliest score in Alcoyano vs Elche II?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Alcoyano 2–0 Elche II.

How many goals are expected in Alcoyano vs Elche II?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 48%.

When does Alcoyano vs Elche II kick off?

Wednesday 11 November 2026, 19:30 WAT, at Estadio El Collao – Segunda División RFEF Group 3.