Castellonense vs Orihuela prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.9 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Probability 68%. Castellonense's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L). The 1.32 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
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Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Castellonense edge it at home, 46% to 31%, with the draw on 23%. Table: Castellonense 5th (17 pts), Orihuela 12th (13 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Castellonense read D L D D W L (one win). Most recent: v La Nucía, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.7 a game.
Orihuela bring a D D D W L L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Ucam Murcia, 0–0 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Castellonense 1.7, Orihuela 1.1 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 61%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.32 against a fair 1.47. Likeliest score: Castellonense 1–0 Orihuela. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Castellonense
last 6- Dv La Nucía2–211 Nov
- Lv Alcoyano3–48 Nov
- D@ Valencia II1–131 Oct
- Dv Almeria0–027 Oct
- W@ Intercity2–024 Oct
- L@ Deportiva Minera2–311 Oct
Orihuela
last 6- Dv Ucam Murcia0–08 Nov
- D@ Yeclano0–01 Nov
- Dv Valencia II1–124 Oct
- W@ Mallorca II2–018 Oct
- L@ Peña Deportiva1–311 Oct
- Lv Cieza0–44 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón II | 10 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 |  Deportiva Minera | 10 | +4 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 4 |  Cieza | 10 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Castellonense | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  La Nucía | 10 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 10 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Elche II | 10 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |  Valencia II | 10 | -7 | 7 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Castellonense vs Orihuela?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.32 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Castellonense or Orihuela?
The model gives Castellonense 46%, the draw 23% and Orihuela 31%.
What is the likeliest score in Castellonense vs Orihuela?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Castellonense 1–0 Orihuela.
How many goals are expected in Castellonense vs Orihuela?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 61%.
When does Castellonense vs Orihuela kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:45 WAT – Segunda División RFEF Group 3.