SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 3.1 projected goals. The line lands in 80% of the model's runs. SC Freiburg's last 5 reads WWWWL – 4 wins; Union Berlin were beaten last time (LDL). Price check: 1.22 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
SC Freiburg are clear favourites at 63% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: SC Freiburg 3rd (19 pts), Union Berlin 16th (7 pts).
Recent form
SC Freiburg bring a W W W L L L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Trabzonspor, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.8 a game.
The last six for Union Berlin read D L D D W L (one win). Most recent: v 1. FC Köln, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.5 goals a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Mar 2026): SC Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: SC Freiburg 2.1, Union Berlin 1.0 – 3.1 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 59%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 80, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.25. Likeliest score: SC Freiburg 2–1 Union Berlin. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
SC Freiburg
last 6- W@ Trabzonspor1–05 Nov
- W@ FC Augsburg2–131 Oct
- Wv VfL Wolfsburg3–228 Oct
- Lv Bayern München1–325 Oct
- L@ Monaco0–322 Oct
- L@ Bayer Leverkusen1–218 Oct
Union Berlin
last 6- Dv 1. FC Köln1–11 Nov
- L@ 1. FC Köln0–527 Oct
- D@ FC Augsburg1–124 Oct
- Dv Borussia Dortmund0–017 Oct
- Wv SV Elversberg1–010 Oct
- L@ Bayern München0–718 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 15 Mar 2026SC Freiburg0–1Union Berlin
Bundesliga table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 9 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | -13 | 4 |
More Bundesliga predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 80, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, SC Freiburg or Union Berlin?
The model gives SC Freiburg 63%, the draw 19% and Union Berlin 18%.
What is the likeliest score in SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is SC Freiburg 2–1 Union Berlin.
How many goals are expected in SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Around 3.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 59% and both teams to score 57%.
When does SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 17:30 WAT, at Europa-Park Stadion – Bundesliga.