Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win
Bayer Leverkusen rate better at both ends – 2.2 expected for, 1.0 against. Bayer Leverkusen won most recently (WLLWL); SC Paderborn 07's form is mixed (DDL, 0 W 2 D 1 L). The 1.25 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Bayer Leverkusen are clear favourites at 67% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Bayer Leverkusen 5th (16 pts), SC Paderborn 07 13th (10 pts).
Recent form
Bayer Leverkusen – sample of six: W L L W L W, with three wins. Most recent: at 1. FC Köln, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.8 a game.
The last six for SC Paderborn 07 read D D L W D L (one win). Most recent: v Eintracht Frankfurt, 2–2 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen 2.2, SC Paderborn 07 1.0 – 3.2 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 67%, BTTS 59%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Bayer Leverkusen to win – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.50. Likeliest score: Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 SC Paderborn 07. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Bayer Leverkusen
last 6- W@ 1. FC Köln2–18 Nov
- Lv Marseille0–15 Nov
- Lv VfB Stuttgart2–431 Oct
- Wv 1. FC Nürnberg5–228 Oct
- L@ 1899 Hoffenheim0–325 Oct
- W@ OFI2–022 Oct
SC Paderborn 07
last 6- Dv Eintracht Frankfurt2–27 Nov
- D@ Borussia Mönchengladbach0–031 Oct
- Lv VfB Stuttgart0–128 Oct
- Wv Hamburger SV1–024 Oct
- D@ Werder Bremen2–217 Oct
- Lv VfB Stuttgart0–210 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Bundesliga table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 9 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | -13 | 4 |
More Bundesliga predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
The Mind pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Bayer Leverkusen or SC Paderborn 07?
The model gives Bayer Leverkusen 67%, the draw 20% and SC Paderborn 07 13%.
What is the likeliest score in Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 SC Paderborn 07.
How many goals are expected in Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Around 3.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 67% and both teams to score 59%.
When does Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 kick off?
Saturday 21 November 2026, 15:30 WAT, at BayArena – Bundesliga.