Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 3.2 projected goals. The line lands in 83% of the model's runs. Mind Score 83.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Cardiff Draconians shade it on the road, 46% to 35%. Table: Llantwit Major 15th (12 pts), Cardiff Draconians 14th (12 pts).
Recent form
Llantwit Major bring a D L W L D L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Trethomas Bluebirds, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 2.3 a game.
The last six for Cardiff Draconians read L L W L W D (two wins). Most recent: at Penybont, 0–6 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 2.3 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Llantwit Major 1.5, Cardiff Draconians 1.8 – 3.2 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 62%, BTTS 67%.
The pick
Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 83. Likeliest score: Llantwit Major 1–2 Cardiff Draconians. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Llantwit Major
last 6- D@ Trethomas Bluebirds2–27 Nov
- Lv Newport City2–331 Oct
- W@ Caerau (Ely)2–023 Oct
- L@ Trefelin1–417 Oct
- Dv Pontardawe Town1–110 Oct
- L@ Pontypridd Town1–46 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
last 6- L@ Penybont0–613 Nov
- L@ Swansea University0–27 Nov
- Wv Afan Lido2–031 Oct
- L@ Trethomas Bluebirds1–323 Oct
- W@ Radnor Valley3–117 Oct
- Dv Carmarthen Town2–210 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
FAW Championship table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treowen Stars | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
More FAW Championship predictions
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Rhyl1Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 83.
Who is favourite, Llantwit Major or Cardiff Draconians?
The model gives Llantwit Major 35%, the draw 19% and Cardiff Draconians 46%.
What is the likeliest score in Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Llantwit Major 1–2 Cardiff Draconians.
How many goals are expected in Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
Around 3.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 62% and both teams to score 67%.
When does Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 WAT – FAW Championship.