Chernihiv vs Inhulets prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.6 projected goals. Probability 73%. The 1.23 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Chernihiv 58%, Inhulets 22%, draw 20%. Table: Chernihiv 15th (10 pts), Inhulets 10th (18 pts).
Recent form
Chernihiv – sample of six: W L L W W L, with three wins. Most recent: v Yarud Mariupol', 3–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
Inhulets bring a D L W L L L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Kulykiv, 1–1 (drawn). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Chernihiv 1–2 Inhulets. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Chernihiv 1.7, Inhulets 0.9 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 50%, BTTS 55%.
The pick
Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 73, bookmaker price around 1.23 against a fair 1.36. Likeliest score: Chernihiv 2–0 Inhulets. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Chernihiv
last 6- Wv Yarud Mariupol'3–11 Nov
- Lv Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1–229 Oct
- L@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka1–217 Oct
- W@ Prykarpattia1–011 Oct
- W@ Trostianets4–26 Oct
- L@ SK Poltava2–32 Oct
Inhulets
last 6- Dv Kulykiv1–16 Nov
- L@ Lokomotiv Kyiv1–231 Oct
- Wv Kolos Kovalivka II2–025 Oct
- L@ Yarud Mariupol'1–417 Oct
- Lv Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–110 Oct
- L@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–13 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 23 May 2026Chernihiv1–2Inhulets
Persha Liga table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 15 | +9 | 28 |
| 3 |  Oleksandria | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 14 | +6 | 26 |
| 5 |  Kulykiv | 15 | +11 | 25 |
| 6 |  SK Poltava | 15 | +11 | 24 |
| 7 |  Nyva Ternopil | 15 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metal Kharkiv | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 9 |  Lokomotiv Kyiv | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 |  Inhulets | 14 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Prykarpattia | 15 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 |  UCSA | 15 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |  Kolos Kovalivka II | 14 | -14 | 13 |
| 14 |  Probiy Horodenka | 15 | -20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Chernihiv | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Polissya II | 15 | -11 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Chernihiv vs Inhulets?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73, priced around 1.23 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Chernihiv or Inhulets?
The model gives Chernihiv 58%, the draw 20% and Inhulets 22%.
What is the likeliest score in Chernihiv vs Inhulets?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Chernihiv 2–0 Inhulets.
How many goals are expected in Chernihiv vs Inhulets?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 50% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Chernihiv vs Inhulets kick off?
Wednesday 11 November 2026, 10:30 WAT, at Chernihiv Arena – Persha Liga.