Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv prediction: Over 1.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 2.9, clear of the 1.5 line. Probability 78%. Lokomotiv Kyiv were beaten last time (LWL). Mind Score 78.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Chernihiv 41%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv Kyiv 37%. Table: Chernihiv 15th (10 pts), Lokomotiv Kyiv 9th (20 pts).
Recent form
Chernihiv – sample of six: W L L W W L, with three wins. Most recent: v Yarud Mariupol', 3–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
Lokomotiv Kyiv – sample of six: L W L D W D, with two wins. Most recent: at Metal Kharkiv, 2–4 (lost). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–1 Chernihiv. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Chernihiv 1.6, Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.3 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 54%, BTTS 53%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 78. Likeliest score: Chernihiv 2–1 Lokomotiv Kyiv. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Chernihiv
last 6- Wv Yarud Mariupol'3–11 Nov
- Lv Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1–229 Oct
- L@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka1–217 Oct
- W@ Prykarpattia1–011 Oct
- W@ Trostianets4–26 Oct
- L@ SK Poltava2–32 Oct
Lokomotiv Kyiv
last 6- L@ Metal Kharkiv2–47 Nov
- Wv Inhulets2–131 Oct
- L@ UCSA2–325 Oct
- Dv Nyva Ternopil0–018 Oct
- W@ Oleksandria3–111 Oct
- Dv Polissya II3–33 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 25 Jul 2026Lokomotiv Kyiv1–1Chernihiv
Persha Liga table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 15 | +9 | 28 |
| 3 |  Oleksandria | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 14 | +6 | 26 |
| 5 |  Kulykiv | 15 | +11 | 25 |
| 6 |  SK Poltava | 15 | +11 | 24 |
| 7 |  Nyva Ternopil | 15 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metal Kharkiv | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 9 |  Lokomotiv Kyiv | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 |  Inhulets | 14 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Prykarpattia | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 |  UCSA | 15 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |  Kolos Kovalivka II | 15 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 |  Probiy Horodenka | 15 | -20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Chernihiv | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Polissya II | 15 | -11 | 9 |
More Persha Liga predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 78.
Who is favourite, Chernihiv or Lokomotiv Kyiv?
The model gives Chernihiv 41%, the draw 21% and Lokomotiv Kyiv 37%.
What is the likeliest score in Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Chernihiv 2–1 Lokomotiv Kyiv.
How many goals are expected in Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 53%.
When does Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 11:30 WAT, at Chernihiv Arena – Persha Liga.