Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa prediction: Galatasaray to win
The model lands a Galatasaray win in 74% of simulations. Galatasaray are unbeaten across their last 4 (WWWW); Kasımpaşa's latest result was a win (WDW). Price check: 1.25 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Galatasaray are clear favourites at 74% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Galatasaray 1st (28 pts), Kasımpaşa 5th (20 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Galatasaray read D L W L W W (three wins). Most recent: at Pendikspor, 3–3 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 2.3 a game.
Kasımpaşa bring a D W D D W D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Konyaspor, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.8 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Kasımpaşa 1–0 Galatasaray. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Galatasaray 2.3, Kasımpaşa 0.6 – 2.9 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 56%, BTTS 52%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Galatasaray to win – Mind Score 74, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.35. Likeliest score: Galatasaray 2–0 Kasımpaşa. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Galatasaray
last 6- D@ Pendikspor3–32 Oct
- L@ Trabzonspor0–419 Sep
- Wv Kocaelispor1–013 Sep
- L@ Sporting CP1–39 Sep
- W@ Başakşehir3–24 Sep
- Wv Göztepe3–229 Aug
Kasımpaşa
last 6- Dv Konyaspor0–018 Sep
- W@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–113 Sep
- Dv Amed2–26 Sep
- D@ Başakşehir1–130 Aug
- W@ Çorum FK1–022 Aug
- Dv Trabzonspor1–115 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 17 May 2026Kasımpaşa1–0Galatasaray
Süper Lig table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 11 | +12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Trabzonspor | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Amed | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 11 | +19 | 19 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  Başakşehir | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Göztepe | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Rizespor | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Erzurumspor FK | 11 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Alanyaspor | 11 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gaziantep FK | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 11 | -27 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
The Mind pick is Galatasaray to win with a Mind Score of 74, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Galatasaray or Kasımpaşa?
The model gives Galatasaray 74%, the draw 19% and Kasımpaşa 7%.
What is the likeliest score in Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Galatasaray 2–0 Kasımpaşa.
How many goals are expected in Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 56% and both teams to score 52%.
When does Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa kick off?
Friday 9 October 2026, 18:00 WAT, at Rams Park – Süper Lig.